| 来源类型 | Monograph (IIASA Working Paper)
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| 规范类型 | 论文
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| The Role of Risk Assessment in a Political Decision Process. |
| Lathrop JW; Linnerooth J
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| 发表日期 | 1981
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| 出版者 | IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: WP-81-119
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| 出版年 | 1981
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| 语种 | 英语
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| 摘要 | In this paper, we will demonstrate the ways in which risk analyses have been used in a controversial siting issue, the siting of a liquefied natural gas (LNG) terminal in California. The conflicting and contradictory results of these studies, we will suggest, is a predictable and important element of the political debate. Not unlike many other areas of scientific investigation, it is difficult, if not impossible, to arrive at indisputable scientific truths especially where the data is scarce and subjective. Yet, because the risk studies are highly quantitative, imitating in some sense technical , engineering studies, they generate false expectations regarding the conclusiveness of the results. These studies are often seen as pursuing the truth or facts of the situation; yet, they cannot provide unambiguous facts. For this reason, risk analyses should be regarded as introducing necessarily ambiguous evidence into the policy process. Viewing the results of a study as "evidence" instead of "facts" offers a more realistic perspective for improving the uses of these studies, or for improving the studies themselves. |
| 主题 | Management and Technology Area (MMT)
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| URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/1642/
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| 来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria)
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| 资源类型 | 智库出版物
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| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/122248
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推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714 |
Lathrop JW,Linnerooth J. The Role of Risk Assessment in a Political Decision Process.. 1981.
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文件名：
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WP-81-119.pdf
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格式：
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Adobe PDF
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