| 来源类型 | Monograph (IIASA Collaborative Paper)
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| 规范类型 | 论文
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| The Effects of Changing Marital Status Patterns on Social Security Expenditures in the Netherlands, 1985-2050. |
| Keilman N
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| 发表日期 | 1991
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| 出版者 | IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: CP-91-015
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| 出版年 | 1991
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| 语种 | 英语
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| 摘要 | Projections of expenditures for old-age pensions, survivor pensions, and disability pensions were made for the period 1985-2050 on the basis of future developments in the population structure by age, sex, and marital status. Five demographic scenarios were formulated: (i) a Benchmark scenario, with demographic rates kept constant at their 1980-84 level; (ii) a Fertility scenario, with a rise of the Total Fertility Rate (TFR) towards replacement level; (iii) a Mortality scenario, with reductions in mortality rates of 30 percent for females, and 45 percent for males; (iv) a Western scenario, which combines extreme demographic conditions of several West European countries: a TFR of 1.28, proportions never-marrying of one-third, one-third of all marriages ending in divorce, and male and female life expectancies of 74 and 81 years, respectively; and a Realistic scenario, which is the only one to include international migration, and which corresponds closely to the official population forecasts for the Netherlands. |
| 主题 | World Population (POP)
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| URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/3565/
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| 来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria)
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| 资源类型 | 智库出版物
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| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/123876
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推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714 |
Keilman N. The Effects of Changing Marital Status Patterns on Social Security Expenditures in the Netherlands, 1985-2050.. 1991.
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文件名：
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CP-91-015.pdf
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格式：
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Adobe PDF
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