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\u003cp style=\u0022color: #000000; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 1.5em; margin-left: 0px; background-color: #ffffff;\u0022\u003eExecutive Director of IISS-Americas \u003ca href=\u0022https://www.iiss.org/en/persons/mark-s-fitzpatrick\u0022 style=\u0022color: #003e7f;\u0022\u003eMark Fitzpatrick\u003c/a\u003e warned that Trump\u0027s decision to abandon the Iran nuclear deal is a blow to peace and stability in the Middle East, and a decision that will sabotage faith in US leadership around the world.\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003cp style=\u0022color: #000000; margin: 0px 0px 1.5em; background-color: #ffffff;\u0022\u003eWriting in Prospect Magazine, \u003ca href=\u0022https://www.prospectmagazine.co.uk/world/pulling-out-of-the-iran-nuclear-deal-is-trumps-most-disastrous-decision-to-date\u0022 style=\u0022color: #003e7f;\u0022\u003ehe said\u003c/a\u003e: \u0027US President Donald Trump’s violation of the Iran nuclear accord, by re-imposing nuclear sanctions, is the most disastrous decision of his troubled presidency to date. Taken for no good reason, his careless act undermines US leadership and credibility, alienates allies, invites retaliation [and] undermines the nuclear order in the Middle East.\u0027\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003cp style=\u0022color: #000000; margin: 0px 0px 1.5em; background-color: #ffffff;\u0022\u003eFitzpatrick \u003ca href=\u0022https://www.rferl.org/a/as-u-s-withdraws-from-iran-nuclear-deal-experts-consider-fallout/29215939.html\u0022 style=\u0022color: #003e7f;\u0022\u003etold Radio Free Europe\u003c/a\u003e: \u0027This is not the first time that President Trump has done something of this nature: pulling out of the Paris climate accords was a huge blow to American leadership and credibility. Pulling out of the Trans-Pacific Partnership [multilateral trade pact] was another such blow.\u0027\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003cp style=\u0022color: #000000; margin: 0px 0px 1.5em; background-color: #ffffff;\u0022\u003eThe risk to US-Europe relations was also noted by Fitzpatrick\u0027s colleague \u003ca href=\u0022https://www.iiss.org/en/persons/mahsa-s-rouhi\u0022 style=\u0022color: #003e7f;\u0022\u003eMahsa Rouhi\u003c/a\u003e, Research Fellow for Non-Proliferation and Nuclear Policy. Her \u003ca href=\u0022https://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2018/05/iran-eu-e3-trump-outreach-blame-game-jcpoa-nuclear-deal.html\u0022 style=\u0022color: #003e7f;\u0022\u003eanalysis for Al-Monitor\u003c/a\u003e predicted that Trump would blame France, Germany and the UK for failing to renegotiate and \u0027fix\u0027 the deal.\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003ch4 style=\u0022color: #000000; margin: 0px; background-color: #ffffff;\u0022\u003eImpact on North Korea\u0027s nuclear programme\u003c/h4\u003e\n\u003cbr style=\u0022color: #000000; background-color: #ffffff;\u0022 /\u003e\n\u003cp style=\u0022color: #000000; margin: 0px 0px 1.5em; background-color: #ffffff;\u0022\u003eFitzpatrick argued that Trump\u0027s approach spells danger for efforts to contain North Korea. He told\u003ca href=\u0022https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2018/05/09/asia-pacific/walking-away-iran-deal-trump-bets-heavily-u-s-power-move-backfire-east-asia/#.WvRT1YgvyUl\u0022 style=\u0022color: #003e7f;\u0022\u003eJapan Times\u003c/a\u003e: \u0027Now that [Trump] has walked away from [the Iran deal], Kim Jong Un will be doubly certain not to give up any portion of his nuclear arsenal for mere American promises.\u0027\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003cp style=\u0022color: #000000; margin: 0px 0px 1.5em; background-color: #ffffff;\u0022\u003eRouhi writes in \u003ca href=\u0022http://foreignpolicy.com/2018/05/08/the-north-korean-playbook-wont-work-with-iran/\u0022 style=\u0022color: #003e7f;\u0022\u003eForeign Policy\u003c/a\u003e that hardliners in both Tehran and Washington are using recent events in North Korea to justify their positions - the former arguing they prove Iran can gain leverage through an accelerated nuclear programme, and the latter arguing they show how brinksmanship and raised tensions can bring success. But Rouhi says these positions ignore vastly different regional dynamics.\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003ch4 style=\u0022color: #000000; margin: 0px; background-color: #ffffff;\u0022\u003eUS options narrowed \u003c/h4\u003e\n\u003cbr style=\u0022color: #000000; background-color: #ffffff;\u0022 /\u003e\n\u003cp style=\u0022color: #000000; margin: 0px 0px 1.5em; background-color: #ffffff;\u0022\u003e\u003ca href=\u0022https://www.iiss.org/en/persons/kori-s-schake\u0022 style=\u0022color: #003e7f;\u0022\u003eKori Schake\u003c/a\u003e, IISS Deputy Director-General, \u003ca href=\u0022https://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/right-turn/wp/2018/05/09/the-skepticism-is-widespread-over-leaving-the-iran-deal/?noredirect=on\u0026amp;utm_term=.da2f66f81fef\u0022 style=\u0022color: #003e7f;\u0022\u003etold the Washington Post\u003c/a\u003e: \u0027I don’t see how this tightens the noose on Iran’s nuclear program or its other dangerous behavior.\u0027\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003cp style=\u0022color: #000000; margin: 0px 0px 1.5em; background-color: #ffffff;\u0022\u003eShe added: \u0027It’ll make it harder for us to get the international cooperation we need. President Trump looks to have narrowed his options to either destroying Iran’s nuclear program or threatening our closest friends and allies with secondary sanctions that’ll start a trade war and accelerate the demise of the dollar as the international holding currency.\u0027 \u003c/p\u003e\n\u003ch4 style=\u0022color: #000000; margin: 0px; background-color: #ffffff;\u0022\u003eA failure years in the making?\u003c/h4\u003e\n\u003cbr style=\u0022color: #000000; background-color: #ffffff;\u0022 /\u003e\n\u003cp style=\u0022color: #000000; margin: 0px 0px 1.5em; background-color: #ffffff;\u0022\u003e\u003ca href=\u0022https://www.iiss.org/en/persons/emile-s-hokayem\u0022 style=\u0022color: #003e7f;\u0022\u003eEmile Hokayem\u003c/a\u003e, Senior Fellow for Middle East Security, argued that the move continues years of harmful US policy in the region. He \u003ca href=\u0022https://twitter.com/emile_hokayem\u0022 style=\u0022color: #003e7f;\u0022\u003eTweeted\u003c/a\u003e: \u0027Trump’s decision on Iran is unwarranted, dangerous, vain, stupid and more. But the US diplomacy that led to then followed the 2015 also contributed to making things worse in the Mideast as US sought to placate Tehran, sending its rivals into panic mode.\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003cp style=\u0022color: #000000; margin: 0px 0px 1.5em; background-color: #ffffff;\u0022\u003e\u0027Many of the people concerned with the fate of the Iran nuclear deal have ignored, wished away, understated the Syrian tragedy and Iran’s responsibility in it to reach then protect the deal. This has harmed the standing of the deal. Syrians will not forget.\u0027\u003c/p\u003e","className":"richtext reading--content font-secondary"}), document.getElementById("react_g8l3wH4vd0SNmEYxPinCg"))});
\u003cp\u003eIISS analysts ask how Trump\u0027s decision to withdraw from the JCPOA will affect the Middle East, America\u0027s alliances and Washington\u0027s bid to contain North Korea.\u003c/p\u003e
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