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How can we stop Iran’s space programme threatening the West?  智库博客
时间:2018-08-01   作者: Michael Elleman  来源:International Institute for Strategic Studies (United Kingdom)
\u003cp\u003eThe lack of curbs on Iran’s missile programme was cited by President Donald Trump in May 2018 as one of the principal reasons for withdrawing from the 2015 Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA). With the nuclear accord consequently on life support, it is not too late to pursue diplomatic measures that address the growing challenge posed by Iran’s ballistic missiles.\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003cp\u003eThe most promising would be to lock in, through negotiations, the 2,000 kilometre-range limit that Iran has previously stated is its maximum requirement. While this would not reduce the threat perceived by Iran’s regional neighbours, it would forestall development of systems that could target Western Europe or North America.\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003cp\u003eTehran is not likely to commit to verification measures for such negotiated range limits, however, without receiving something in return. One bargain that could be considered would be to allow Iran to continue its satellite-launch programme, under certain conditions, while capping the maximum range of its ballistic missiles. Such a trade-off may also be relevant to the North Korean case.\u003c/p\u003e","className":"richtext reading--content font-secondary"}), document.getElementById("react_GTV2TUEMj0OKbDI9IPx3zg"))});
With the Iran nuclear accord currently on life support, it is not too late to pursue diplomatic measures that address the growing challenge posed by Iran\u0026rsquo;s ballistic missiles, argues Michael Elleman in a new report.

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