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来源类型 | Expert Comment |
规范类型 | 评论 |
Chemical Weapons and Syria | |
Dr Patricia Lewis | |
发表日期 | 2013-04-29 |
出版年 | 2013 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | Thanks to the Chemical Weapons Convention (CWC), 188 states have committed to never using, developing, producing, acquiring, stockpiling, transferring or retaining chemical weapons. Since then the taboo of chemical weapons has grown considerably and they have thus been subject to a number of constraints on their use (such as the 1925 Geneva Protocol), acquisition (such as the Australia Group export control guidelines) and possession (the CWC). Syria's 'complex' weapons situationToday, concerns are focused on Syria. Although not a member of the CWC, Syria has full membership of the 1925 Geneva Protocol that prohibits the use of asphyxiating, poisonous or other gases. Over the last few weeks, there have been accusations that chemical weapons have indeed been used in the Syria conflict; each side blaming the other. In 1988, the UNSG's powers were cemented by the UN Security Council Resolution 620 that encourages prompt investigations in response to allegations. Furthermore it commits the Security Council to consider appropriate effective measures immediately, with regards to any future use of chemical weapons. The Secretary General has at his disposal an updated roster of experts and laboratories, trained to technical guidelines and procedures so that he is able to act speedily in response to alleged use. In response to the allegations of chemical weapons use in Syria, Ban Ki-moon has swiftly assembled a fifteen-member team of experts from the UN roster, headed by a Swedish scientist, Ake Sellström. Professor Sellström is highly qualified. He was an inspector for UNSCOM's work under Rolf Ekeus in finding and destroying Iraq's chemical weapons following the 1991 ceasefire and under Hans Blix and UNMOVICs work in 2002-3 in the lead up to the 2003 Iraq war. The team requires consent from the Syrian government however. Without that consent all that the UN investigatory team can do is take samples outside the country. Those samples could be from water and soil, from clothes, hair, skin, blood and urine. However, such samples suffer from lack of certainty in attribution - they would surely be challenged as to whether they were fakes. Even if their provenance could be verified, the delay in taking the samples would increase uncertainty and vulnerability to challenge. As time passes, even direct access becomes less useful with the residues of agents and chemical breakdown products being diluted and washed away. It is possible to do ultra-low concentration sample analysis in certain laboratories, including one in the UK, but as the delays accumulate, the likelihood of finding a 'smoking gun' reduces. International effortsWhatever the truth about who has used or not used chemical weapons in the Syrian conflict and whether the evidence will ever be found, the bigger issue is to prevent massive use - of the sort seen in Halabja twenty-five years ago. In addition, and not unconnected, the securing of the Syrian chemical weapons stocks in a post-conflict Syria is also of the utmost priority. In Libya, the incoming authorities discovered clandestine, undeclared stockpiles from the Gaddafi regime that were immediately reported and then dismantled by the OPCW, with the assistance of Iraq. On this day of commemorating the victims of chemical weapons, we would do well to remind ourselves of the horrors of chemical weapons and redouble efforts, in their honour, to bring in the few remaining states that remain completely outside the CWC, namely Angola, DPRK, Egypt, Somalia, South Sudan and Syria. |
主题 | Technology/weapons ; Arms Control |
区域 | Syria and the Levant |
URL | https://www.chathamhouse.org/media/comment/view/191085 |
来源智库 | Chatham House (United Kingdom) |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/50811 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Dr Patricia Lewis. Chemical Weapons and Syria. 2013. |
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