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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w6420
来源IDWorking Paper 6420
Nonlinear Aggregate Investment Dynamics: Theory and Evidence
Ricardo J. Caballero; Eduardo M.R.A. Engel
发表日期1998-02-01
出版年1998
语种英语
摘要In this paper we derive a model of aggregate investment that builds from the lumpy microeconomic behavior of firms facing stochastic fixed adjustment costs. Instead of the standard sharp (S,s) bands, firms' adjustment policies take the form of a probability of adjustment (adjustment hazard) that responds smoothly to changes in firms' capacity gap. The model has appealing aggregation properties, and yields nonlinear aggregate time series processes. The passivity of normal times is, occasionally, more than offset by the brisk response to large accumulated shocks. Using within and out-of-sample criteria, we find that the model performs substantially better than the standard linear models of investment for postwar sectoral U.S. manufacturing equipment and structures investment data.
主题Macroeconomics ; Consumption and Investment ; Microeconomics ; Behavioral Economics
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w6420
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/563934
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GB/T 7714
Ricardo J. Caballero,Eduardo M.R.A. Engel. Nonlinear Aggregate Investment Dynamics: Theory and Evidence. 1998.
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