G2TT
来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w6924
来源IDWorking Paper 6924
Wage Dynamics: Reconciling Theory and Evidence
Olivier Jean Blanchard; Lawrence Katz
发表日期1999-02-01
出版年1999
语种英语
摘要U.S. macroeconomic evidence shows a negative relation between the rate of change of wages and unemployment. In contrast, most theories of wage determination imply a negative relation between the level of wages and unemployment. In this paper, we ask whether one can reconcile the empirical evidence with theoretical wage relations. We reach three main conclusions. First, we derive the condition under which the two can indeed be reconciled. We show the constraints that such a condition imposes on the determinants of workers' reservation wages as well as the relative importance of workers' outside options as opposed to match specific productivity in wage determination. Second, in the light of this condition, we reinterpret the presence of an "error correction" term in macroeconomic wage relations for most European economies but not in the United States. Third, we show that whether this condition holds or not has important implications for the effects of a number of variables -- from real interest rates to oil prices to payroll taxes -- on the natural rate of unemployment.
主题Macroeconomics ; Business Cycles ; Labor Economics ; Unemployment and Immigration
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w6924
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/564439
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Olivier Jean Blanchard,Lawrence Katz. Wage Dynamics: Reconciling Theory and Evidence. 1999.
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