Inadequate energy-efficiency metrics. Most demand-management policies used by US states focus on reducing overall electricity demand through energy-efficiency targets and associated programs. Unfortunately, states don’t always design policies that include an enforcement mechanism. States can use performance-based programs, in which utilities are compensated only if they meet reduction targets—but determining whether the target has been met can be difficult, especially when the demand is being compared to counterfactual demand projections that are themselves uncertain. Workshop participants suggested that enforcing these metrics might be an area for future research, perhaps by building on prior RFF work that uses machine learning to create counterfactual baseline projections.
Inadequate incentives for electricity customers. Current electricity rates generally do not reflect the marginal cost of generation, which means that customers don’t know when it would be most cost-effective to scale back their demand for electricity. Innovative time-varying rate structures could communicate this information about marginal costs and encourage customers to reduce demand when doing so has the greatest potential to reduce costs for themselves and for the grid. Time-varying rates also can reveal opportunities to grow demand at low cost to consumers, and such opportunities often coincide with periods of abundant renewable energy supply.
Inadequate incentives for utilities and regional transmission organizations. Demand management often would be a more cost-effective way to meet system needs than building more generation or transmission. As things stand, however, utilities in regulated regions typically are compensated based on capital investment, with utilities in both regulated and deregulated regions compensated based on investment in the distribution grid. Demand resources—that is, managed reductions in electricity demand that could be used instead of additional generation of electricity—often are unable to bid into regional electricity and capacity markets in the same way that generators can. Workshop participants suggested changes to utility business models that could push utilities toward demand resources, and suggested advocating with FERC and the regional transmission organizations for greater participation of demand resources in regional markets.
Confusing and high-risk rate structures. While changing customer rates to reflect the marginal cost of electricity may facilitate demand management, time-varying pricing may, on the other hand, expose customers to the risk of high prices that they may not be equipped to manage. The use of simpler rates or automation for residential customers, and careful evaluation and testing of rate designs before mass application, can protect consumers and prevent harm.
Power to the States