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DP15581 Expectation dispersion, uncertainty, and the reaction to news 智库出版物
2022
作者:  Benjamin Born;  Jonas Dovern;  Zeno Enders
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2022/09/22
Expectation dispersion  Uncertainty  Macroeconomic news  stock market  Event study  Forecaster dispersion  
DP15581 Expectation dispersion, uncertainty, and the reaction to news 智库出版物
2020
作者:  Benjamin Born;  Jonas Dovern;  Zeno Enders
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2022/09/22
Expectation dispersion  Uncertainty  Macroeconomic news  stock market  Event study  Forecaster disagreement  
DP10162 A General Approach to Recovering Market Expectations from Futures Prices With an Application to Crude Oil 智库出版物
2014
作者:  Lutz Kilian;  Christiane Baumeister
收藏  |  浏览/下载:2/0  |  提交时间:2022/09/22
Forecast  Futures  Market expectation  Model uncertainty  Oil price  risk premium  
Endogenous Uncertainty: A Unified View of Market Volatility 智库出版物
1997
作者:  Mordecai Kurz
Adobe PDF(2433Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载:2/0  |  提交时间:2019/06/14
Rational Expectation Equilibrium (REE),rational beliefs,Rational Belief Equilibrium (RBE),Endogenous uncertainty,State of belief,Market volatility,Equity risk premium,Riskless rate,GARCH,Forward discount bias,Foreign exchange rates,OLG economy,Correlation