来源类型 | Research Reports
|
规范类型 | 报告
|
ISBN | 9780833080103
|
来源ID | RR-223-CMEPP
|
| Voting Patterns in Post-Mubarak Egypt |
| Jeffrey Martini; Stephen M. Worman
|
发表日期 | 2013
|
出版年 | 2013
|
页码 | 16
|
语种 | 英语
|
结论 |
Political Geography Plays a Role- Similar to the United States, Egypt has its own "red state-blue state" dynamics.
- Islamists run strongest in the governorates of Upper Egypt, the outlying Western governorates, and North Sinai.
- Non-Islamist parties have polled well in Cairo and its immediate environs, South Sinai, as well as in the more sparsely populated governorates abutting the Red Sea.
- The Delta has been contested territory, with Islamists underperforming their national averages but still doing well in absolute terms.
Islamist Support Appears to Be Declining- Islamists achieved their high-water mark in the initial ballots after the January 25 Revolution, but the gap between them and their non-Islamist rivals has narrowed since then.
- Although non-Islamists announced a boycott of the upcoming election, their influence is not weakening. Further, non-Islamist parties could benefit from extended Islamist leadership, if that leadership proves a disappointment to voters.
- Should non-Islamists reconsider their boycott and contest the 2013 parliamentary elections, they are likely to improve their performance from the 2011-2012 elections.
|
摘要 |
- The United States should avoid targeting assistance programming in ways that advantage one political party over another. This would only undermine the recipient's credibility and invite allegations that they are operating as a "fifth column" of the West.
|
主题 | Democracy
; Egypt
; International Diplomacy
; Political Reform Movements
; Religious Fundamentalism
|
URL | https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RR223.html
|
来源智库 | RAND Corporation (United States)
|
资源类型 | 智库出版物
|
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/107578
|
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 |
Jeffrey Martini,Stephen M. Worman. Voting Patterns in Post-Mubarak Egypt. 2013.
|
文件名:
|
x1495315147502.jpg
|
格式:
|
JPEG
|
文件名:
|
RAND_RR223.pdf
|
格式:
|
Adobe PDF
|
除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。