G2TT
来源类型Research Reports
规范类型报告
ISBN9780833080479
来源IDRR-232-USFI
Ending the U.S. War in Iraq: The Final Transition, Operational Maneuver, and Disestablishment of United States Forces-Iraq
Rick Brennan; Jr.; Charles P. Ries; Larry Hanauer; Ben Connable; Terrence Kelly; Michael J. McNerney; Stephanie Young; Jason H. Campbell; K. Scott McMahon
发表日期2013
出版年2013
页码588
语种英语
结论

Security Challenges Are Expected to Endure

  • Iraq faces enduring challenges that will test its ability to maintain the level of security necessary for sustained political and democratic development.
  • The security challenges include internal struggles for power, insufficient institutional capacity, continuing activities of violent extremist groups, and malevolent activities supported by external state and nonstate actors.

Strategic and Policy Uncertainties Hindered Planning and Execution of the Transition

  • While it was clear in 2009 that USF-I would not be able to achieve campaign plan goals and objectives by the end of mission in 2011, no national level strategic reassessment was conducted to define success.
  • Uncertainties about possible posttransition troop presence negatively affected all aspects of the transition planning and execution.
  • The transition plan did not include planning for the political transitions that would occur within Iraq and between the United States and Iraq.

The "Expeditionary Embassy" Concept Proved Unworkable and Unsustainable

  • Not since Vietnam has the United States left an embassy in a zone of conflict after a large-scale military operation.
  • Efforts to provide paramilitary security capabilities to the "expeditionary embassy" created a footprint that was larger than either the United States or the government of Iraq was willing to sustain and exceeded the authorities Iraq was willing to grant.
  • Because an embassy operates under the Vienna Conventions, it is more important to establish new authorities with the host government than it is to create robust paramilitary capabilities that are neither usable nor sustainable.
摘要
  • Policymakers should initiate a multiagency planning process under the direction of the national security staff well in advance of the anticipated end of a large-scale operation and transition to a civilian-led mission.
  • Policymakers should secure congressional support for the nature and costs of a civilian mission well before military forces depart in conjunction with normal budget cycles.
  • Policymakers should engage with the host nation as early as possible to determine the scope and functions of the civilian mission and negotiate necessary agreements and authorities consistent with the Vienna Conventions.
  • Planners both in theater and in Washington should fundamentally reassess the campaign goals and objectives well before the departure of forces, recognizing that previously established goals likely will not be achieved by the end of the transition process.
  • In determining what to equipment to leave behind, policymakers and planners should assess the ability of the host nation to effectively use and sustain that equipment.
  • Pretransition planning should be launched several years ahead of the transition deadline, led jointly by a general officer and a senior civilian, staffed with capable planners who are not involved in current operations, and granted all necessary authorities.
  • Policymakers should establish a central office for managing all contracts and contractors in country.
  • Transition planners should undertake a systematic knowledge management survey and ensure that all vital information remains accessible to the follow-on civilian mission.
  • Policymakers should resist the temptation to delay final decisions on ending operations to avoid a "waterfall" exit of troops, contractors, and equipment.
主题Civil-Military Relations ; Global Security ; International Diplomacy ; Iraq ; Military Logistics ; Military Strategy ; Nation Building ; Peacekeeping and Stability Operations
URLhttps://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RR232.html
来源智库RAND Corporation (United States)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/107582
推荐引用方式
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Rick Brennan,Jr.,Charles P. Ries,et al. Ending the U.S. War in Iraq: The Final Transition, Operational Maneuver, and Disestablishment of United States Forces-Iraq. 2013.
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