G2TT
来源类型Research Reports
规范类型报告
ISBN9780833085924
来源IDRR-616
Iran's Influence in Afghanistan: Implications for the U.S. Drawdown
Alireza Nader; Ali G. Scotten; Ahmad Rahmani; Robert Stewart; Leila Mahnad
发表日期2014
出版年2014
页码70
语种英语
结论

Iranian Influence in Afghanistan Should Not Be a Great Concern for the United States

  • Iran and the United States both want to prevent Afghanistan from again becoming dominated by the Taliban and a safe haven for al Qaeda.
  • A peaceful resolution to the Iranian nuclear crisis and the continued strengthening of relative pragmatists in the Tehran government could lead to cooperation between Iran and the United States in Afghanistan.

Tensions Between Iran and the United States May Ease

  • The departure of most American forces may assuage Iranian anxiety.
  • A peaceful resolution to the nuclear issue and reduced tensions between Iran and the United States are likely to reduce Iranian incentives for aiding Taliban elements.
  • Moderate leaders in Iran are likely to oppose arming of insurgents and instead advocate a more diplomatic approach.
摘要
  • The United States should engage the Iranian government in bilateral discussions regarding Afghanistan and pursue joint activities that would serve their mutual interests and build much-needed trust.
  • The United States should attempt to cooperate with Iran in countering narcotics in Afghanistan.
  • The United States should encourage efforts to bring Tehran and Kabul to an agreement over water sharing.
  • The United States should lend logistical or financial support to the UN-facilitated Triangular Initiative.
  • Washington should encourage joint Iranian-Pakistani projects if a final nuclear deal with Iran is reached; U.S. attempts to disrupt energy cooperation between the two could be counterproductive.
  • Include Iran in regional and international discussions on Afghan security, especially if Iran comes to accept any residual international force in Afghanistan.
主题Afghanistan ; Global Security ; Iran ; Military Demobilization ; Nation Building ; United States
URLhttps://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RR616.html
来源智库RAND Corporation (United States)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/107850
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Alireza Nader,Ali G. Scotten,Ahmad Rahmani,et al. Iran's Influence in Afghanistan: Implications for the U.S. Drawdown. 2014.
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