G2TT
来源类型Research Reports
规范类型报告
ISBN9780833090348
来源IDRR-740/1-1-DCR
The Costs of the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict: Executive Summary
C. Ross Anthony; Daniel Egel; Charles P. Ries; Mary E. Vaiana
发表日期2015
出版年2015
页码50
语种英语
结论

Results of Economic Analysis of the Five Scenarios

  • A two-state solution provides by far the best economic outcomes for both Israelis and Palestinians. Israelis would gain over two times more than the Palestinians in absolute terms — $123 billion versus $50 billion over ten years.
  • But the Palestinians would gain more proportionately, with average per capita income increasing by approximately 36 percent over what it would have been in 2024, versus 5 percent for the average Israeli.
  • A return to violence would have profoundly negative economic consequences for both Palestinians and Israelis; per capita gross domestic product would fall by 46 percent in the West Bank and Gaza and by 10 percent in Israel by 2024.
  • In most scenarios, the value of economic opportunities gained or lost by both parties is much larger than expected changes in direct costs.
  • Unilateral withdrawal by Israel from the West Bank would impose large economic costs on Israelis unless the international community shoulders a substantial portion of the costs of relocating settlers.
  • Intangible factors, such as each party's security and sovereignty aspirations, are critical considerations in understanding and resolving the impasse.
  • Taking advantage of the economic opportunities of a two-state solution would require substantial investments from the public and private sectors of the international community and from both parties.
主题Israel ; Low-Intensity Conflict ; Nation Building ; Palestinian Territories ; Terrorism
URLhttps://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RR740z1-1.html
来源智库RAND Corporation (United States)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/107972
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C. Ross Anthony,Daniel Egel,Charles P. Ries,et al. The Costs of the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict: Executive Summary. 2015.
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