来源类型 | Research Reports
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规范类型 | 报告
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ISBN | 9780833090348
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来源ID | RR-740/1-1-DCR
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| The Costs of the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict: Executive Summary |
| C. Ross Anthony; Daniel Egel; Charles P. Ries; Mary E. Vaiana
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发表日期 | 2015
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出版年 | 2015
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页码 | 50
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语种 | 英语
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结论 |
Results of Economic Analysis of the Five Scenarios - A two-state solution provides by far the best economic outcomes for both Israelis and Palestinians. Israelis would gain over two times more than the Palestinians in absolute terms — $123 billion versus $50 billion over ten years.
- But the Palestinians would gain more proportionately, with average per capita income increasing by approximately 36 percent over what it would have been in 2024, versus 5 percent for the average Israeli.
- A return to violence would have profoundly negative economic consequences for both Palestinians and Israelis; per capita gross domestic product would fall by 46 percent in the West Bank and Gaza and by 10 percent in Israel by 2024.
- In most scenarios, the value of economic opportunities gained or lost by both parties is much larger than expected changes in direct costs.
- Unilateral withdrawal by Israel from the West Bank would impose large economic costs on Israelis unless the international community shoulders a substantial portion of the costs of relocating settlers.
- Intangible factors, such as each party's security and sovereignty aspirations, are critical considerations in understanding and resolving the impasse.
- Taking advantage of the economic opportunities of a two-state solution would require substantial investments from the public and private sectors of the international community and from both parties.
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主题 | Israel
; Low-Intensity Conflict
; Nation Building
; Palestinian Territories
; Terrorism
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URL | https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RR740z1-1.html
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来源智库 | RAND Corporation (United States)
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资源类型 | 智库出版物
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条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/107972
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推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 |
C. Ross Anthony,Daniel Egel,Charles P. Ries,et al. The Costs of the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict: Executive Summary. 2015.
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