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Previous Active-Duty Force Reductions Did Not Generally Decrease Demographic Diversity

• Despite major reductions in the size of the active-duty force in all four services in the 1990s, demographic diversity generally increased.
• Although the Navy and Air Force reduced their active-duty forces in the mid-2000s, demographic diversity of those forces generally increased between fiscal years 2001 and 2011.

Specific Drawdown Effects on Demographic Diversity are Unclear

• Drawdown decisions do not have clear-cut ties to demographic diversity because the services do not make drawdown decisions with demographic goals in mind.

Certain Drawdown Strategies Could Affect Demographic Diversity

• Three categories of workforce characteristics are used to separate active-duty personnel in drawdowns: experience, occupational specialty, and merit. Any of these could affect demographic diversity due to uneven distribution of demographic groups across the three categories.
• Cuts to nontactical operational occupations could adversely affect women and blacks; cuts to tactical operational occupations could adversely affect Hispanic men; cuts based on long service may adversely affect black personnel, but cuts based on short service could adversely affect women; tightening accessions standards could adversely affect both women and minorities.