G2TT
来源类型Research Reports
规范类型报告
来源IDRR-896-RC
Are Changing Constituencies Driving Rising Polarization in the U.S. House of Representatives?
Jesse Sussell; James A. Thomson
发表日期2015
出版年2015
页码62
语种英语
结论

Clustering by Geography and Socioeconomic Variables Appears to Contribute to Polarization in the House of Representatives

  • We find that over the last 40 years, the geographic distribution of the electorate has become more dispersed (i.e., clustered) with respect to party voting, college attainment, median family income, and the marriage rate. This finding persists at both the county and congressional district levels.
  • We estimate that long-term geographical clustering of voters is responsible for roughly 30 percent of the increase in polarization in the House between the 93rd and 112th Congresses.
  • An important ancillary finding is that the within-district percentage of adults who are married dwarfs other socioeconomic variables — including those measuring race, education, income, and urbanicity — as a predictor of local partisanship.
主题Democracy ; Demographics ; Regression Analysis ; United States
URLhttps://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RR896.html
来源智库RAND Corporation (United States)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/108093
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Jesse Sussell,James A. Thomson. Are Changing Constituencies Driving Rising Polarization in the U.S. House of Representatives?. 2015.
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