G2TT
来源类型Research Reports
规范类型报告
ISBN9780833088550
来源IDRR-630-AF
Extreme Cost Growth: Themes from Six U.S. Air Force Major Defense Acquisition Programs
Mark A. Lorell; Robert S. Leonard; Abby Doll
发表日期2015
出版年2015
页码70
语种英语
结论

Premature Approval at Milestone B

  • The six Air Force Major Defense Acquisition Programs (MDAPs) examined were not ready for approval at Milestone B (MS B).
  • Five of the six programs examined were characterized by insufficient technology maturity and high integration complexity at MS B.
  • Many of the programs chose unrealistically optimistic cost estimates at MS B that underestimated the challenges of incorporating commercially derived technologies, even though more realistic independent cost estimates were available.

Suboptimal Acquisition Strategies and Program Structure

  • In all six programs, acquisition strategies and program structures were adopted that lacked adequate processes for managing risk through incrementalism and provision of appropriate oversight and incentives for the prime contractor.
  • Four of the programs were not ready for approval at MS C; use of a combined MS B/C milestone or premature award of MS C took place prior to the achievement of adequate production article design stability.
摘要
  • Major Defense Acquisition Programs (MDAPs) must have credible baseline cost estimates at MS B to provide realistic baseline metrics for accurately measuring real cost growth. Program planners should recognize the strong predictive relevance of predecessor programs' costs, be skeptical regarding claims that new approaches or technologies will substantially reduce costs compared with past systems, and consider credible alternative cost and risk assessments from authoritative sources.
  • The Air Force should develop, refine, and implement robust evolutionary or incremental acquisition strategies and policies that reduce and control technological and programmatic risk, unless timely operational need has clear priority over cost savings.
主题Military Acquisition and Procurement ; Military Budgets and Defense Spending ; United States Air Force
URLhttps://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RR630.html
来源智库RAND Corporation (United States)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/108124
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Mark A. Lorell,Robert S. Leonard,Abby Doll. Extreme Cost Growth: Themes from Six U.S. Air Force Major Defense Acquisition Programs. 2015.
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