G2TT
来源类型Research Reports
规范类型报告
DOIhttps://doi.org/10.7249/RR1402
ISBN9780833095718
来源IDRR-1402-OSD
The PLA and China's Rejuvenation: National Security and Military Strategies, Deterrence Concepts, and Combat Capabilities
Timothy R. Heath; Kristen Gunness; Cortez A. Cooper III
发表日期2016
出版年2016
页码74
语种英语
结论
  • Chinese perceptions and assessments are not static, they change and evolve as China's standing in the world increases and its national interests grow, and the conclusions Chinese planners draw from such assessments also evolve.
  • It is necessary to continue monitoring and analyzing emerging literature and assessments on concepts discussed in this report — particularly those with broader implications for current events.
  • China might have a higher threshold for risk than the United States may expect, particularly when it comes to defending such "core interests" as territory and sovereignty claims. This could lead Chinese leaders to do something that they would not consider escalatory but which the United States might.
  • Although "active defense" and China's "no first use" policy state that China will not fire the first shot (or nuclear weapon), the definition of what the "first shot" entails is ambiguous.
  • The strength of our alliances, defense capacity of our allies and partners, and U.S. military presence in the region does impact the direction of Chinese research, development and acquisition and capabilities development, particularly in high-technology areas.
  • China's expanding interests increasingly require a capacity to provide security for investments and business ventures around the world.
摘要
  • Understanding and managing competition with China on a global scale will be of the highest priority for U.S. leaders in the coming decade and beyond.
  • U.S. policymakers should work to develop a broad range of regional and global scenarios to support crisis planning in the context of U.S.-China competition.
  • U.S. and allied planners should develop a broad menu of options to respond to various levels of Chinese coercion and aggression.
  • Understanding how China responds to U.S. and allied security initiatives, and how China itself seeks to shape the regional security environment, is key to maintaining US extended deterrence (strategic and conventional) in the coming years.
主题China ; Global Security ; Military Doctrine ; Military Strategy ; Military Transformation ; Nuclear Weapons and Warfare
URLhttps://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RR1402.html
来源智库RAND Corporation (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/108447
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Timothy R. Heath,Kristen Gunness,Cortez A. Cooper III. The PLA and China's Rejuvenation: National Security and Military Strategies, Deterrence Concepts, and Combat Capabilities. 2016.
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