G2TT
来源类型Research Reports
规范类型报告
DOIhttps://doi.org/10.7249/RR1761
ISBN9780833097101
来源IDRR-1761-AF
Program Characteristics That Contribute to Cost Growth: A Comparison of Air Force Major Defense Acquisition Programs
Mark A. Lorell; Leslie Adrienne Payne; Karishma R. Mehta
发表日期2017
出版年2017
页码96
语种英语
结论

Key Characteristics Identified on the Programs with Extreme Cost Growth Are Important Causes of Extreme Cost Growth and Cost Growth in General

  • With the possible exception of the Wideband Global SATCOM All Blocks, the low cost-growth programs exhibit few of the key characteristics of the six extreme cost-growth programs.
  • The assessment of four Major Defense Acquisition Programs (MDAPs) with low cost growth and comparison with the six MDAPs with extreme cost growth indicate that there appears to be a strong relationship between the program attributes identified in our prior research and extreme cost growth.

There Is a Pronounced Difference Between the Programs with Extreme Cost Growth and Those with Low Cost Growth When Examining Estimated Research, Development, Test, and Evaluation Costs for All Ten Programs at Milestone B

  • All of the programs with low cost growth have smaller research, development, test, and evaluation estimates at Milestone B, with the exception of the C-5 Reliability Enhancement and Re-Enginging Program.
  • Our case-study analysis confirms that the six extreme cost-growth programs tended to be much larger, more complex, and challenging development (as well as production) programs than the four programs with low cost growth.
  • This finding does not mean that the lessons learned from the low cost-growth programs are only truly applicable to similar types of lower complexity programs.
摘要
  • As in the earlier RAND report, we recommend mitigating extreme cost growth by ensuring that programs have realistic cost estimates at Milestone B.
  • We also embrace incremental strategies with comprehensive and proven implementation strategies.
  • When possible, large, complex programs incorporating cutting-edge technologies and challenging system-integration issues should probably be separated into smaller, less-complex subcomponents, unless urgent requirements or the technological and design configuration of the system make such an approach unfeasible.
  • Effective implementation of incremental acquisition strategies can be challenging, particularly in determining the precise content of each increment, but this approach appears to hold out the promise of reducing developmental and integration complexities and risks that may lead to substantial cost growth later in programs.
  • The Air Force needs to continue to experiment with incremental strategies, as well as novel contracting methods and incentives and other approaches to encourage contractors to control cost growth.
主题Military Acquisition and Procurement ; Military Budgets and Defense Spending ; Military Logistics ; United States Air Force
URLhttps://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RR1761.html
来源智库RAND Corporation (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/108531
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Mark A. Lorell,Leslie Adrienne Payne,Karishma R. Mehta. Program Characteristics That Contribute to Cost Growth: A Comparison of Air Force Major Defense Acquisition Programs. 2017.
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