G2TT
来源类型Research Reports
规范类型报告
DOIhttps://doi.org/10.7249/RR1579
ISBN9780833096371
来源IDRR-1579-A
European Relations with Russia: Threat Perceptions, Responses, and Strategies in the Wake of the Ukrainian Crisis
Stephanie Pezard; Andrew Radin; Thomas S. Szayna; F. Stephen Larrabee
发表日期2017
出版年2017
页码120
语种英语
结论

Perceptions of Russia as a Military Threat Differ Sharply Across Europe and Appear to be Heavily Influenced by Geographical Proximity to Russia

  • Some of Russia's neighbors see Russia as capable of and potentially willing to carry out a conventional attack against them but do not necessarily see such an attack as likely.
  • Some European countries, particularly eastern NATO members, are concerned that the Alliance is ill equipped to respond to the current crisis with Russia.

European Countries Have Adopted a Broad Range of Measures in Response to the Ukrainian Crisis

  • That Russia's behavior requires a strong response is widely accepted by most European countries.
  • NATO has begun its adaptation to the new threat environment.
  • Responses to Russia's strategic communication efforts and internal destabilization efforts have been limited.
  • While agreeing on a firm response to Russia's aggressive moves, most European countries have also made sure to pursue dialogue with Russia on Ukraine-related issues as well as other matters of mutual interest.

European Officials Interviewed Generally Agreed on Three Key Elements that Shape Their Current Relations with Russia and Likely Will Continue to Do So in the Near Future

  • Relations with Russia have changed irremediably.
  • Tensions are unlikely to recede anytime soon.
  • Future actions toward Russia depend on Russian behavior.
摘要
  • The Department of Defense should take a serious look at Russian capabilities to politically subvert a Baltic state, including the seizure of a border enclave and/or fomenting internal unrest. DoD could use political-military games to understand the potential Alliance difficulties in reaching consensus, the options open to NATO, and the time required. More-detailed assessment of the Baltic internal security forces and their ability to deal with potential subversion contingencies also would be valuable.
  • DoD should seek a better understanding of the Russian ability to prevent reinforcement to the Baltic States; DoD could subject some of the "unusual" scenarios, like the seizure of Gotland, to modeling and simulation. Similarly, for sustained air operations over the Baltic States, how important does access to Swedish (and possibly Finnish) airspace become?
  • DoD should seek a clear view of the role that Kaliningrad might play, with its strong antiair defenses; how would NATO neutralize them?
主题European Union ; Global Security ; North Atlantic Treaty Organization ; Russia ; Ukraine
URLhttps://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RR1579.html
来源智库RAND Corporation (United States)
引用统计
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/108652
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Stephanie Pezard,Andrew Radin,Thomas S. Szayna,et al. European Relations with Russia: Threat Perceptions, Responses, and Strategies in the Wake of the Ukrainian Crisis. 2017.
条目包含的文件
文件名称/大小 资源类型 版本类型 开放类型 使用许可
x1535050417864.jpg(4KB)智库出版物 限制开放CC BY-NC-SA浏览
RAND_RR1579.pdf(3056KB)智库出版物 限制开放CC BY-NC-SA浏览
个性服务
推荐该条目
保存到收藏夹
导出为Endnote文件
谷歌学术
谷歌学术中相似的文章
[Stephanie Pezard]的文章
[Andrew Radin]的文章
[Thomas S. Szayna]的文章
百度学术
百度学术中相似的文章
[Stephanie Pezard]的文章
[Andrew Radin]的文章
[Thomas S. Szayna]的文章
必应学术
必应学术中相似的文章
[Stephanie Pezard]的文章
[Andrew Radin]的文章
[Thomas S. Szayna]的文章
相关权益政策
暂无数据
收藏/分享
文件名: x1535050417864.jpg
格式: JPEG
文件名: RAND_RR1579.pdf
格式: Adobe PDF

除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。