G2TT
来源类型Research Reports
规范类型报告
DOIhttps://doi.org/10.7249/RR1305
ISBN9780833093066
来源IDRR-1305-A
Russia and the West After the Ukrainian Crisis: European Vulnerabilities to Russian Pressures
F. Stephen Larrabee; Stephanie Pezard; Andrew Radin; Nathan Chandler; Keith Crane; Thomas S. Szayna
发表日期2017
出版年2017
页码100
语种英语
结论

Russian Military Action and the Imbalance of Forces Have Made Its Neighbors Nervous

  • Russia could threaten the sovereignty of the Baltic states, but any attempt to control Baltic territory would likely provoke NATO counteraction.

Europe and the United States Remain Vulnerable to Russian Nuclear Forces, as Russia does to American, French, and British Nuclear Forces. Europe's Vulnerability to Disruptions in Energy, Trade, or Financial Flows Is, Overall, Limited

  • European needs in almost all sectors can be readily covered by other suppliers.
  • Europe relies on Russia for a not-insignificant share of its energy, but Russia relies on Western European technology and capital for its oil exploration and extraction industries. Although Russia provides a high percentage of European oil supplies, Russia's oil exports provide it with little leverage, as Europe could tap into alternative sources.
  • While the smaller economies of southeastern, central, and northeastern Europe are disproportionately vulnerable to a cutoff in Russian natural gas supplies, overall, substitution measures could compensate for a permanent cutoff in Russian gas.

European Domestic Politics May Provide Russia an Opportunity to Foster Instability

  • Some countries have disaffected russophone minorities that could be manipulated, while others are in severe economic difficulty that could be exploited. While fragile, EU sanctions have held so far.
  • Right-wing extremist parties are on the rise in Europe, and some enjoy Russian support. None of them, however, enjoys enough domestic popularity to gain control over foreign policy.
主题Energy Security ; European Union ; International Economic Relations ; North Atlantic Treaty Organization ; Russia ; Security Cooperation ; U.S.-European Relations ; Ukraine
URLhttps://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RR1305.html
来源智库RAND Corporation (United States)
引用统计
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/108662
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
F. Stephen Larrabee,Stephanie Pezard,Andrew Radin,et al. Russia and the West After the Ukrainian Crisis: European Vulnerabilities to Russian Pressures. 2017.
条目包含的文件
文件名称/大小 资源类型 版本类型 开放类型 使用许可
x1535054446748.jpg(4KB)智库出版物 限制开放CC BY-NC-SA浏览
RAND_RR1305.pdf(580KB)智库出版物 限制开放CC BY-NC-SA浏览
个性服务
推荐该条目
保存到收藏夹
导出为Endnote文件
谷歌学术
谷歌学术中相似的文章
[F. Stephen Larrabee]的文章
[Stephanie Pezard]的文章
[Andrew Radin]的文章
百度学术
百度学术中相似的文章
[F. Stephen Larrabee]的文章
[Stephanie Pezard]的文章
[Andrew Radin]的文章
必应学术
必应学术中相似的文章
[F. Stephen Larrabee]的文章
[Stephanie Pezard]的文章
[Andrew Radin]的文章
相关权益政策
暂无数据
收藏/分享
文件名: x1535054446748.jpg
格式: JPEG
文件名: RAND_RR1305.pdf
格式: Adobe PDF

除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。