G2TT
来源类型Research Reports
规范类型报告
DOIhttps://doi.org/10.7249/RR2107
ISBN9780833099358
来源IDRR-2107-AF
Vector Check: Prospects for U.S. and Pakistan Air Power Engagement
Jonah Blank; Richard S. Girven; Arzan Tarapore; Julia A. Thompson; Arthur Chan
发表日期2018
出版年2018
页码128
语种英语
结论

Engagement

  • The U.S. Air Force (USAF) would be wise to maintain a steady level of engagement with Pakistan Air Force (PAF), rather than trying to scramble for a rapid engagement when the next cycle begins. The USAF should prepare for the next cycle — now. This can and should be done in a manner which does not jeopardize the growing security engagement between the United States and India. But if past is prologue to the future, there will likely be another such turn of the wheel with Pakistan, and it may well arrive (as it has the past two times) quite literally overnight.

Future Trends

  • The USAF should understand and accept its role as "loss leader" of U.S.-Pakistan relations. The USAF should not expect its relationship with PAF to be one of institutional parity: PAF has less to offer the USAF than vice versa, while the benefits provided by Pakistan (human intelligence for counterterrorism, facilitation of Taliban reconciliation, nonproliferation cooperation, and policy guarantees of regional stability) will accrue to other parts of the U.S. security establishment.
摘要
  • The U.S. Air Force (USAF) should prepare now for the next cycle of overnight engagement.
  • The USAF should recognize that it has been, and is likely to be in the future, the "loss leader" of U.S.-Pakistan relations.
  • The USAF and U.S. policymakers should understand the limits of U.S., and particularly USAF, leverage over Pakistan's choices.
  • The USAF and U.S. interlocutors should calibrate Pakistan's expectations about what is politically feasible in the United States. They should also recognize the impact of the tone of rhetoric by members of the U.S. policy community.
  • Subject always to changing geopolitical circumstances, the United States should continue to approve maintenance, training, and support for existing Pakistan Air Force (PAF) F-16s, and be wary of calls to forgo (or accelerate) future transfers.
  • In cooperation with the Office of the Defense Representative Pakistan, the USAF should request an increase in nonlethal Pakistan-focused International Education and Training for PAF students.
  • The USAF should offer the opportunity for PAF to send a select officer to serve as an instructor at a USAF school.
  • The USAF should focus USAF-PAF exercises and training on existing technical capabilities, especially those that support or enable humanitarian aid/disaster relief capabilities.
  • The United States should — to the extent possible without jeopardizing its relationship with India — consider sales of technical systems that support improved collaboration in areas of shared interests, such as counterterrorism or counterinsurgency missions.
  • The USAF should discuss the possibility of sharing service lessons learned and best practices through subject-matter expert exchanges.
主题Afghanistan ; Air Defense ; Fighter Aircraft ; Pakistan ; Security Cooperation ; United States Air Force
URLhttps://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RR2107.html
来源智库RAND Corporation (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/108739
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Jonah Blank,Richard S. Girven,Arzan Tarapore,et al. Vector Check: Prospects for U.S. and Pakistan Air Power Engagement. 2018.
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