全球智库信息集成服务系统

Investment priorities should be in six groups:

• Improving the research cycle by tightening links among theory, modeling, and experimentation
• Seeking more unifying and coherent theories while retaining alternative perspectives and confronting multidimensional uncertainty
• Invigorating experimentation with modern data sources and emphasis on theory-observation iteration
• Modernizing ways to use social-behavioral models for analysis to aid decisionmaking, in particular by drawing on lessons learned from other domains about using models to assist planning under deep uncertainty
• Challenging theorists and technologists to provide related methods and tools, since existing ones are inadequate and often counterproductive
• Nurturing the rest of the ecology needed (notably infrastructure, governance, and culture), and doing so in a way that adheres to the highest standards with regard to ethics, privacy, and responsible use of model-based analysis to inform policy decisions that may have profound effects

A mechanism for addressing the priorities should be able to identify a small number of grand challenges and, for each, to organize multiyear research using virtual social-behavioral modeling laboratories to stimulate cross-cutting, interdisciplinary, iconoclastic research addressing challenges in all of the six groups.