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Strong Bedrock, Formidable Challenges

• Israel and Turkey still have strong common interests, especially economically. Natural gas development is still a prospect, and both countries share the objective of stability of Gaza.
• However, Israeli opinion of Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and differences between the countries over the future of Syria and the Israeli-Palestinian issue will probably keep relations cold.
• Israel now has economic and security cooperation alternatives to Turkey, such as Cyprus and Greece. Israeli defense industries have found larger markets than Turkey for their exports including India, South Korea and Japan.
• Changes in the status of the Israeli-Turkish relationship will probably occur alongside developments on the Israeli-Palestinian front, as demonstrated by the May 2018 diplomatic rift over the violent clashes in Gaza and the opening of the U.S. embassy in Jerusalem.