G2TT
来源类型Research Reports
规范类型报告
DOIhttps://doi.org/10.7249/RR2447
ISBN9781977400499
来源IDRR-2447-OSD
Building Security in Africa: An Evaluation of U.S. Security Sector Assistance in Africa from the Cold War to the Present
Stephen Watts; Trevor Johnston; Matthew Lane; Sean Mann; Michael J. McNerney; Andrew Brooks
发表日期2018
出版年2018
页码138
语种英语
结论

The United States deemphasized governance issues during Cold War competition

  • During the Cold War, the United States' primary goal was to maintain partnerships with governments in Africa and to prevent regimes from slipping into the Soviet orbit. Enhancing governance or human rights — or even maintaining peace and stability — was not the overriding goal of U.S. assistance in this period. SSA in this period went disproportionately to poorly governed states.

Security sector assistance in the Cold War appears to have increased the incidence of civil wars

  • U.S. assistance appears likely to have increased the incidence of civil wars in this period, likely by either exacerbating domestic instabilities or provoking proxy conflicts.

Most security sector assistance in most countries in the post–Cold War era appears to have had little net impact

  • Whatever "success stories" might exist are relatively modest in their impact on political violence, obscured by much larger amounts of inefficient spending or offset by counterproductive outcomes in other cases.

Security sector assistance has had significant, positive impact in peacekeeping contexts

  • Even when they controlled for the direct effects of "blue helmets," the authors found that SSA executed in the presence of UN peacekeepers has statistically significant, favorable effects on a range of outcomes. It decreases the likelihood of renewed conflict, terrorist attacks, and government repression.
摘要
  • Balance goals of achieving access and influence with governance concerns.
  • Adopt a comprehensive approach with persistent presence and oversight.
  • Conduct risk assessments.
  • Commit to rigorous monitoring and evaluation.
  • Improve the quality of SSA data.
  • Conduct in-depth evaluations of high-impact, high-risk programs.
主题Africa ; Counterinsurgency ; Counterterrorism ; Peacekeeping and Stability Operations ; Security Cooperation ; United States
URLhttps://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RR2447.html
来源智库RAND Corporation (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/108831
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Stephen Watts,Trevor Johnston,Matthew Lane,et al. Building Security in Africa: An Evaluation of U.S. Security Sector Assistance in Africa from the Cold War to the Present. 2018.
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