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来源类型 | FEEM working papers "Note di lavoro" series |
规范类型 | 论文 |
Reaching National Kyoto-Targets in Germany by Maintaining a Sustainable Development | |
Stefan Bayer; Claudia Kemfert | |
发表日期 | 2000 |
出处 | Climate Change and Sustainable Development |
出版年 | 2000 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | Within this paper, we analyse the fulfilment of the Kyoto-emissions reduction com-mitment exemplary in Germany and its implication on long-term paths of all macro-variables. Germany, like all other industrial or Annex B coun-tries, has to reduce its emissions by 2010 and after what we call a "Kyoto-forever-scenario". We exemplary investigate tradable permits as reduction measures in a national OverLapping Generations (OLG)-model, where we change the discounting technique by using generation adjusted discounting (GAD) in comparison to conventional OLG-models. We show that within our model-framework Germany is able to develop along growing paths of e.g. GDP in sharp contrast to conventional results of OLG-simulations. At the same time, nowadays living generations have to share higher burdens in terms of lower GDP, per capita consumption and employment which can be interpreted, firstly, as contemporary costs for reaching sustainable paths and, secondly, contributions for internalising intertemporal external effects. However, all costs in terms of lower macro-variables for current living generations are overcompensated by higher future values of them. This effect can be interpreted as intertemporal application of full cost-bearance, or, in other words, the polluter pay principle which is oriented on the sustainability of GHG abatement. |
特色分类 | D58,D61,Q28,Q38,Q48 |
关键词 | OLG-models,discounting,sustainability,climate change,Kyoto targets |
URL | https://www.feem.it/en/publications/feem-working-papers-note-di-lavoro-series/reaching-national-kyoto-targets-in-germany-by-maintaining-a-sustainable-development/ |
来源智库 | Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (Italy) |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/116591 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Stefan Bayer,Claudia Kemfert. Reaching National Kyoto-Targets in Germany by Maintaining a Sustainable Development. 2000. |
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文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
NDL2000-098.pdf(431KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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