G2TT
来源类型FEEM working papers "Note di lavoro" series
规范类型论文
Reaching National Kyoto-Targets in Germany by Maintaining a Sustainable Development
Stefan Bayer; Claudia Kemfert
发表日期2000
出处Climate Change and Sustainable Development
出版年2000
语种英语
摘要Within this paper, we analyse the fulfilment of the Kyoto-emissions reduction com-mitment exemplary in Germany and its implication on long-term paths of all macro-variables. Germany, like all other industrial or Annex B coun-tries, has to reduce its emissions by 2010 and after what we call a "Kyoto-forever-scenario". We exemplary investigate tradable permits as reduction measures in a national OverLapping Generations (OLG)-model, where we change the discounting technique by using generation adjusted discounting (GAD) in comparison to conventional OLG-models. We show that within our model-framework Germany is able to develop along growing paths of e.g. GDP in sharp contrast to conventional results of OLG-simulations. At the same time, nowadays living generations have to share higher burdens in terms of lower GDP, per capita consumption and employment which can be interpreted, firstly, as contemporary costs for reaching sustainable paths and, secondly, contributions for internalising intertemporal external effects. However, all costs in terms of lower macro-variables for current living generations are overcompensated by higher future values of them. This effect can be interpreted as intertemporal application of full cost-bearance, or, in other words, the polluter pay principle which is oriented on the sustainability of GHG abatement.
特色分类D58,D61,Q28,Q38,Q48
关键词OLG-models,discounting,sustainability,climate change,Kyoto targets
URLhttps://www.feem.it/en/publications/feem-working-papers-note-di-lavoro-series/reaching-national-kyoto-targets-in-germany-by-maintaining-a-sustainable-development/
来源智库Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (Italy)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/116591
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Stefan Bayer,Claudia Kemfert. Reaching National Kyoto-Targets in Germany by Maintaining a Sustainable Development. 2000.
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