G2TT
来源类型FEEM working papers "Note di lavoro" series
规范类型论文
Model Uncertainty, Optimal Monetary Policy andthe Preferences of the Fed
Paolo Surico; Efrem Castelnuovo
发表日期2001
出处Economy and Society
出版年2001
语种英语
摘要Monetary policy in the US is characterized by a substantial degree of inertia. While in principle this may well be the outcome of an optimizing central bank behavior, the ability of any derived policy rule to match the data relies on so large weights for interest rate smoothing into policy makers' preferences as to be theoretically flawed. In this paper we investigate whether such a puzzle can be interpreted as resulting from theconcern of monetary authorities for potential misspecifications of the macroeconomic dynamics. Accordingly, we propose a novel thick modeling approach that incorporates model uncertainty into the identification of central bank's preferences. The thick robust policy rule shows the kind of smoothness observed in the data without resorting to 'incredible' values for the preference parameters.
特色分类C61,E52,E58
关键词Model uncertainty,interest rate smoothing,Fed policy preferences,optimal monetary policy
URLhttps://www.feem.it/en/publications/feem-working-papers-note-di-lavoro-series/model-uncertainty-optimal-monetary-policy-andthe-preferences-of-the-fed/
来源智库Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (Italy)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/116692
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Paolo Surico,Efrem Castelnuovo. Model Uncertainty, Optimal Monetary Policy andthe Preferences of the Fed. 2001.
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