| 来源类型 | FEEM working papers "Note di lavoro" series |
| 规范类型 | 论文 |
| Climate Uncertainty and the Necessity to Transform Global Energy Supply | |
| Bob van der Zwaan; Reyer Gerlagh | |
| 发表日期 | 2004 |
| 出处 | Climate Change and Sustainable Development |
| 出版年 | 2004 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | This paper analyses the policy relevance of the dominant uncertainties in our current scientific understanding of the terrestrial climate system, and provides further evidence for the need to radically transform - this century - our global infrastructure of energy supply, given the global average temperature increase as a result of anthropogenic carbon dioxide emissions. We investigate the effect on required CO2 emission reduction efforts, both in terms of how much and when, of our uncertain knowledge today of the climate sensitivity to a doubling in them atmospheric CO2 concentration. Also the roles of carbon-free energy and energy savings, and their evolutions over time, are researched, as well as their dependence on some of our characteristic modelling features. We use a top-down model in which there are two competing energy sources, fossil and non-fossil. Technological change is represented endogenously through learning curves, and modest but non-zero demand exists for the relatively expensive carbon-free energy resource. |
| 特色分类 | 030,Q25,Q42,Q43,Q48 |
| 关键词 | Global warming,CO2 emissions,Climate sensitivity,Fossil to non-fossil transition,Carbon-free power,Energy savings |
| URL | https://www.feem.it/en/publications/feem-working-papers-note-di-lavoro-series/climate-uncertainty-and-the-necessity-to-transform-global-energy-supply/ |
| 来源智库 | Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (Italy) |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/117046 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Bob van der Zwaan,Reyer Gerlagh. Climate Uncertainty and the Necessity to Transform Global Energy Supply. 2004. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| NDL2004-095.pdf（1158KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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