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来源类型 | FEEM working papers "Note di lavoro" series |
规范类型 | 论文 |
A General Equilibrium Analysis of Climate Change Impacts on Tourism | |
Andrea Bigano; Maria Berrittella; Roberto Roson; Richard S.J. Tol | |
发表日期 | 2004 |
出处 | Climate Change and Sustainable Development |
出版年 | 2004 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | This paper studies the economic implications of climate-change-induced variations in tourism demand, using a world CGE model. The model is first re-calibrated at some future years, obtaining hypothetical benchmark equilibria, which are subsequently perturbed by shocks, simulating the effects of climate change. We portray the impact of climate change on tourism by means of two sets of shocks, occurring simultaneously. The first shocks translate predicted variations in tourist flows into changes of consumption preferences for domestically produced goods. The second shocks reallocate income across world regions, simulating the effect of higher or lower tourists' expenditure. Our analysis highlights that variations in tourist flows will affect regional economies in a way that is directly related to the sign and magnitude of flow variations. At a global scale, climate change will ultimately lead to a welfare loss, unevenly spread across regions. |
特色分类 | D58,L83,Q51,Q54 |
关键词 | Climate change,Computable general equilibrium models,Tourism |
URL | https://www.feem.it/en/publications/feem-working-papers-note-di-lavoro-series/a-general-equilibrium-analysis-of-climate-change-impacts-on-tourism/ |
来源智库 | Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (Italy) |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/117078 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Andrea Bigano,Maria Berrittella,Roberto Roson,et al. A General Equilibrium Analysis of Climate Change Impacts on Tourism. 2004. |
条目包含的文件 | ||||||
文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
2011371259214NDL2004(619KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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