| 来源类型 | FEEM working papers "Note di lavoro" series |
| 规范类型 | 论文 |
| Coalition Formation under Uncertainty: The Stability Likelihood of an International Climate Agreement | |
| Rob Dellink; Michael Finus; Niels Olieman | |
| 发表日期 | 2005 |
| 出处 | Climate Change and Sustainable Development |
| 出版年 | 2005 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | Results derived from empirical analyses on the stability of climate coalitions are usually very sensitive to the large uncertainties associated with the benefits and costs of climate policies. This paper provides the methodology of Stability Likelihood that links uncertainty about benefits and costs of climate change to the stability analysis of coalitions in a stochastic, empirical setting. We show that the concept of Stability Likelihood improves upon the robustness and interpretation of stability analysis. Our numerical application is based on a modified version of the climate model STACO. It turns out that the only non-trivial coalition structure with a relatively high Stability Likelihood (around 25 percent) is a coalition between the European Union and Japan, though quantitative results depend especially on the variance in regional benefits from abatement. |
| 特色分类 | C79,H87,Q54 |
| 关键词 | Climate change,Coalition formation,International environmental agreements,Uncertainty |
| URL | https://www.feem.it/en/publications/feem-working-papers-note-di-lavoro-series/coalition-formation-under-uncertainty-the-stability-likelihood-of-an-international-climate-agreement/ |
| 来源智库 | Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (Italy) |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/117210 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Rob Dellink,Michael Finus,Niels Olieman. Coalition Formation under Uncertainty: The Stability Likelihood of an International Climate Agreement. 2005. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| NDL2005-098.pdf（2714KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
除非特别说明，本系统中所有内容都受版权保护，并保留所有权利。
