| 来源类型 | FEEM working papers "Note di lavoro" series |
| 规范类型 | 论文 |
| Using Expert Judgment to Assess Adaptive Capacity to Climate Change: Evidence From a Conjoint Choice Survey | |
| Anna Alberini; Aline Chiabai; Lucija Muehlenbachs | |
| 发表日期 | 2005 |
| 出处 | Climate Change and Sustainable Development |
| 出版年 | 2005 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | We use conjoint choice questions to ask public health and climate change experts, contacted at professional meetings in 2003 and 2004, which of two hypothetical countries, A or B, they deem to have the higher adaptive capacity to certain effects of climate change on human health. These hypothetical countries are described by a vector of seven attributes, including per capita income, inequality in the distribution of income, measures of the health status of the population, the health care system, and access to information. Probit models indicate that our respondents regard per capita income, inequality in the distribution of income, universal health care coverage, and high access to information as important determinants of adaptive capacity. A universal-coverage health care system and a high level of access to information are judged to be equivalent to $12,000-$14,000 in per capita income. We use the estimated coefficients and country sociodemographics to construct an index of adaptive capacity for several countries. In panel-data regressions, this index is a good predictor of mortality in climatic disasters, even after controlling for other determinants of sensitivity and exposure, and for per capita income. We conclude that our conjoint choice questions provide a novel and promising approach to eliciting expert judgments in the climate change arena. |
| 特色分类 | Q54,I18 |
| 关键词 | Adaptive capacity,Climate change,Human health effects,Extreme events,Heat waves,Vector-borne illnesses,Conjoint choice,Vulnerability,Sensitivity |
| URL | https://www.feem.it/en/publications/feem-working-papers-note-di-lavoro-series/using-expert-judgment-to-assess-adaptive-capacity-to-climate-change-evidence-from-a-conjoint-choice-survey/ |
| 来源智库 | Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (Italy) |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/117218 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Anna Alberini,Aline Chiabai,Lucija Muehlenbachs. Using Expert Judgment to Assess Adaptive Capacity to Climate Change: Evidence From a Conjoint Choice Survey. 2005. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| NDL2005-106.pdf（783KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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