| 来源类型 | FEEM working papers "Note di lavoro" series |
| 规范类型 | 论文 |
| Migration Dynamics | |
| Sergio Vergalli; Michele Moretto | |
| 发表日期 | 2005 |
| 出处 | Economy and Society |
| 出版年 | 2005 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | This paper tries to explain why most migration flows show some observable jumps in their processes, a phenomenon that seems to be sympathetic with the characteristic of irreversibility of migration. We present a real option model where the choice to migrate depends on both the differential wage between the host country and the country of origin, and on the probability of being fully integrated into the host country. The theoretical results show that the optimal migration decision of a single individual consists of waiting before migrating in a (coordinate) mass of individuals. The dimension of the migration flow depends on the behavioural characteristics of the ethnic groups: the more "sociable" they are, the larger the size of the wave and the lower the differential wage required. A second part of the paper is devoted to calibrating the model and simulating some migration flows to Italy in the last decade. The calibration is able to replicate the observable migration jumps in the short term. In particular, the calibrated model is able to conjecture the induced labour demand elasticity level of the host country and the behavioural rationale of the migrants. |
| 特色分类 | F22,O15,R23 |
| 关键词 | Migration,Real Option,Labour Market,Network Effect |
| URL | https://www.feem.it/en/publications/feem-working-papers-note-di-lavoro-series/migration-dynamics/ |
| 来源智库 | Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (Italy) |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/117220 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Sergio Vergalli,Michele Moretto. Migration Dynamics. 2005. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| NDL2005-108.pdf（982KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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