全球智库信息集成服务系统(G2TT): Climate Change and Extreme Events: An Assessment of Economic Implications

G2TT

来源类型	FEEM working papers "Note di lavoro" series
规范类型	论文
	Climate Change and Extreme Events: An Assessment of Economic Implications
	Roberto Roson; Alvaro Calzadilla; Francesco Pauli
发表日期	2006
出处	Climate Change and Sustainable Development
出版年	2006
语种	英语
摘要	We use a general equilibrium model of the world economy, and a regional economic growth model, to assess the economic implications of vulnerability from extreme meteorological events, induced by the climate change. In particular, we first consider the impact of climate change on ENSO and NAO oceanic oscillations and, subsequently, the implied variation on regional expected damages. We found that expected damages from extreme events are increasing in the United States, Europe and Russia, and Russia, and decreasing in energy exporting countries. Two economic implications are taken into account: (1) short-term impacts, due to changes in the demand structure, generated by higher/lower precautionary saving, and (2) variations in regional economic growth paths. We found that indirect short-term effects (variations in savings due to higher or lower likelihood of natural disasters) can have an impact on regional economics, whose order of magnitude is comparable to the one of direct damages. On the other hand, we highlight that higher vulnerability from extreme events translates into higher volatility in the economic growth path, and vice versa.
特色分类	D58,D91,Q54
关键词	Climate Change,Extreme Events,Computable General Equilibrium Models,Precautionary Savings,Economic Growth
URL	https://www.feem.it/en/publications/feem-working-papers-note-di-lavoro-series/climate-change-and-extreme-events-an-assessment-of-economic-implications/
来源智库	Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (Italy)
资源类型	智库出版物
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/117307
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Roberto Roson,Alvaro Calzadilla,Francesco Pauli. Climate Change and Extreme Events: An Assessment of Economic Implications. 2006.