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来源类型 | FEEM working papers "Note di lavoro" series |
规范类型 | 论文 |
The Impact of Climate Change on Domestic and International Tourism: A Simulation Study | |
Andrea Bigano; Jacqueline M. Hamilton; Richard S.J. Tol | |
发表日期 | 2006 |
出处 | Climate Change and Sustainable Development |
出版年 | 2006 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | We use an updated and extended version of the Hamburg Tourism Model to simulate the effect of development and climate change on tourism. Model extensions are the explicit modelling of domestic tourism and the inclusion of tourist expenditures. We also use the model to examine the impact of sea level rise on tourism demand. Climate change would shift patterns of tourism towards higher altitudes and latitudes. Domestic tourism may double in colder countries and fall by 20% in warmer countries (relative to the baseline without climate change). For some countries international tourism may treble whereas for others it may cut in half. International tourism is more (less) important than is domestic tourism in colder (warmer) places. Therefore, climate change may double tourist expenditures in colder countries, and halve them in warmer countries. In most places, the impact of climate change is small compared to the impact of population and economic growth. The quantitative results are sensitive to parameter choices, but the qualitative pattern is robust. |
特色分类 | L83;Q54 |
关键词 | Climate Change International Tourism Domestic Tourism |
URL | https://www.feem.it/en/publications/feem-working-papers-note-di-lavoro-series/the-impact-of-climate-change-on-domestic-and-international-tourism-a-simulation-study/ |
来源智库 | Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (Italy) |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/117350 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Andrea Bigano,Jacqueline M. Hamilton,Richard S.J. Tol. The Impact of Climate Change on Domestic and International Tourism: A Simulation Study. 2006. |
条目包含的文件 | ||||||
文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
2010114121434NDL2006(385KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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