| 来源类型 | FEEM working papers "Note di lavoro" series |
| 规范类型 | 论文 |
| The Economic Impact of the South-North Water Transfer Project in China: A Computable General Equilibrium Analysis | |
| Maria Berrittella; Katrin Rehdanz; Richard S.J. Tol | |
| 发表日期 | 2006 |
| 出处 | Climate Change and Sustainable Development |
| 出版年 | 2006 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | Water resources are unevenly spread in China. Especially the basins of the Yellow, Hui and Hai rivers in the North are rather dry. To increase the supply of water in these basins, the South-to-North Water Transfer project (SNWT) was launched. Using a computable general equilibrium model this study estimates the impact of the project on the economy of China and the rest of the world. We contrast three alternative groups of scenarios. All are directly concerned with the South-to-North water transfer project to increase water supply. In the first group of scenarios additional supply implies productivity gains. We call it the "non-market" solution. The second group of scenarios is called "market solution". The market price for water adjusts such that supply and demand are equated again. In the third group of simulations the economic implications of China's capital investment in infrastructure for the water South-North water transfer project is analyzed. Finally, the investment is combined with the increased capacity of water. If an increase in water supply in China leads to an increase in productivity of their water-intensive goods and services (non-market solution) this would result in a huge positive welfare effect from increased production and export. The effect on China's welfare would still be positive, if a market for water would exist (market solution), but the world as a whole would lose. The negative effect for the rest of the world is largely explained by a deterioration of its terms-of-trade. Well functioning water markets in China are unlikely to exist. |
| 特色分类 | D58,R13,Q25,Q28 |
| 关键词 | Computable General Equilibrium,South-North Water Transfer Project,Water Policy,Water Scarcity |
| URL | https://www.feem.it/en/publications/feem-working-papers-note-di-lavoro-series/the-economic-impact-of-the-south-north-water-transfer-project-in-china-a-computable-general-equilibrium-analysis/ |
| 来源智库 | Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (Italy) |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/117417 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Maria Berrittella,Katrin Rehdanz,Richard S.J. Tol. The Economic Impact of the South-North Water Transfer Project in China: A Computable General Equilibrium Analysis. 2006. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| NDL2006-154.pdf（1160KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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