| 来源类型 | FEEM working papers "Note di lavoro" series |
| 规范类型 | 论文 |
| Industrial Coal Demand in China: A Provincial Analysis | |
| Matteo Manera; Cristina Cattaneo; Elisa Scarpa | |
| 发表日期 | 2008 |
| 出处 | Energy: Resources and Markets |
| 出版年 | 2008 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | The general concern on the environmental implications of the rising demand for coal registered in China during the last few years has induced considerable research effort to produce accurate forecasts of China’s energy requirements. Nevertheless, no previous study has modelled the coal demand in China at provincial level. The aim of this paper is twofold. First, we estimate and forecast the Chinese demand for coal using panel data disaggregated by provinces and accounting for spatial heterogeneity. Second, given the spatial nature of the data, we explicitly capture the spatial autocorrelation among provinces using spatial econometrics. In particular, we specify the Chinese industrial coal demand at provincial level with a fixed-effect spatial lag model and a fixed-effect spatial error model. The fixedeffect spatial lag model seems to better capture the existing interdependence between provinces. This model forecasts an average annual increase in coal demand to 2010 of 4 percent. *** Suggested citation: Cristina Cattaneo, Matteo Manera, Elisa Scarpa, Industrial coal demand in China: A provincial analysis, Resource and Energy Economics, Volume 33, Issue 1, January 2011, Pages 12-35, ISSN 0928-7655, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.reseneeco.2009.12.002 |
| 特色分类 | C23,E6,Q31,Q41 |
| 关键词 | Energy demand in China,Coal demand in China,Chinese provinces,Panel data Spatial econometrics,Forecasting |
| URL | https://www.feem.it/en/publications/feem-working-papers-note-di-lavoro-series/industrial-coal-demand-in-china-a-provincial-analysis/ |
| 来源智库 | Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (Italy) |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/117533 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Matteo Manera,Cristina Cattaneo,Elisa Scarpa. Industrial Coal Demand in China: A Provincial Analysis. 2008. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| NDL2008-008.pdf（1040KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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