| 来源类型 | FEEM working papers "Note di lavoro" series
|
| 规范类型 | 论文
|
| An Integrated Assessment of Climate Change, Air Pollution, and Energy Security Policy |
| Johannes Bollen; Sebastiaan Hers; Bob van der Zwaan
|
| 发表日期 | 2009
|
| 出处 | Climate Change and Sustainable Development
|
| 出版年 | 2009
|
| 语种 | 英语
|
| 摘要 | This article presents an integrated assessment of climate change, air pollution, and energy security policy. Basis of our analysis is the MERGE model, designed to study the interaction between the global economy, energy use, and the impacts of climate change. For our purposes we expanded MERGE with expressions that quantify damages incurred to regional economies as a result of air pollution and lack of energy security. One of the main findings of our cost-benefit analysis is that energy security policy alone does not decrease the use of oil: global oil consumption is only delayed by several decades and oil reserves are still practically depleted before the end of the 21st century. If, on the other hand, energy security policy is integrated with optimal climate change and air pollution policy, the world’s oil reserves will not be depleted, at least not before our modeling horizon well into the 22nd century: total cumulative demand for oil then decreases by about 20%. More generally, we demonstrate that there are multiple other benefits of combining climate change, air pollution, and energy security policies and exploiting the possible synergies between them. These benefits can be large: for Europe the achievable CO2 emission abatement and oil consumption reduction levels are significantly deeper for integrated policy than when a strategy is adopted in which one of the three policies is omitted. Integrated optimal energy policy can reduce the number of premature deaths from air pollution by about 14,000 annually in Europe and over 3 million per year globally, by lowering the chronic exposure to ambient particulate matter. Only the optimal strategy combining the three types of energy policy can constrain the global average atmospheric temperature increase to a limit of 3ºC with respect to the pre-industrial level. |
| 特色分类 | H21;D58;C61;O33;Q40
|
| 关键词 | Climate Change
Air Pollution
Energy Security
Cost-Benefit Analysis
|
| URL | https://www.feem.it/en/publications/feem-working-papers-note-di-lavoro-series/an-integrated-assessment-of-climate-change-air-pollution-and-energy-security-policy/
|
| 来源智库 | Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (Italy)
|
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物
|
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/117655
|
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714 |
Johannes Bollen,Sebastiaan Hers,Bob van der Zwaan. An Integrated Assessment of Climate Change, Air Pollution, and Energy Security Policy. 2009.
|
|
文件名：
|
200911191258321Nota_di_Lavoro.jpg
|
|
格式：
|
JPEG
|
|
文件名：
|
200911191258184105-09.pdf
|
|
格式：
|
Adobe PDF
|
此文件暂不支持浏览
除非特别说明，本系统中所有内容都受版权保护，并保留所有权利。
