| 来源类型 | FEEM working papers "Note di lavoro" series
|
| 规范类型 | 论文
|
| Beyond Copenhagen: A Realistic Climate Policy in a Fragmented World |
| Carlo Carraro; Emanuele Massetti
|
| 发表日期 | 2010
|
| 出处 | Climate Change and Sustainable Development
|
| 出版年 | 2010
|
| 语种 | 英语
|
| 摘要 | We propose a realistic approach to climate policy based on the Copenhagen Agreement to reduce Greenhouse Gases (GHGs) emissions. We assess by how much the non-binding, although official, commitments to reduce emissions made in Copenhagen will affect the level of world GHGs emissions in 2020. Our estimates are based on official communications to the UNFCCC, on historic data and on the Business-as-Usual scenario of the WITCH model. We are not interested in estimating the gap between the expected level of emissions and what would be needed to achieve the 2°C target. Nor do we attempt to calculate the 2100 temperature level implied by the Copenhagen pledges. We believe these two exercises are subject to high uncertainty and would not improve the current state of negotiations. Rather, we take stock of the present politically achievable level of commitment and suggest an effective way to push forward the climate policy agenda. The focus is on what can be done rather than on what should be done. To this end, we estimate the potential of the financial provisions of the Copenhagen Agreement to sponsor mitigation effort in Non-Annex I countries. Using scenarios produced with the WITCH model, we show that lower commitment on domestic abatement measures can be compensated by devoting roughly 50% of the Copenhagen financial provisions in 2020 to mitigation in Non-Annex I countries. The policy implications of our results will be discussed.
***
Suggested citation: Carlo Carraro and Emanuele Massetti, Beyond Copenhagen: a realistic climate policy in a fragmented world, Climatic Change (2012) 110:523–542
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10584-011-0125-6 |
| 特色分类 | F5;Q01;Q54;Q58
|
| 关键词 | Kyoto Protocol
International Climate Agreements
Climate Policy
Clean Development Mechanism
|
| URL | https://www.feem.it/en/publications/feem-working-papers-note-di-lavoro-series/beyond-copenhagen-a-realistic-climate-policy-in-a-fragmented-world/
|
| 来源智库 | Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (Italy)
|
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物
|
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/117756
|
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714 |
Carlo Carraro,Emanuele Massetti. Beyond Copenhagen: A Realistic Climate Policy in a Fragmented World. 2010.
|
|
文件名：
|
201010201256461Nota_di_Lavoro.jpg
|
|
格式：
|
JPEG
|
|
文件名：
|
201010221739144NDL2010-136.pdf
|
|
格式：
|
Adobe PDF
|
此文件暂不支持浏览
除非特别说明，本系统中所有内容都受版权保护，并保留所有权利。
