| 来源类型 | FEEM working papers "Note di lavoro" series
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| 规范类型 | 论文
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| Assessing China’s Energy Conservation and Carbon Intensity: How Will the Future Differ from the Past? |
| ZhongXiang Zhang
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| 发表日期 | 2010
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| 出处 | Energy: Resources and Markets
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| 出版年 | 2010
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| 语种 | 英语
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| 摘要 | As an important step towards building a “harmonious society” through “scientific development”, China has incorporated for the first time in its five-year economic plan an energy input indicator as a constraint. While it achieved a quadrupling of its GDP while cutting its energy intensity by about three quarters between 1980 and 2000, China has had limited success in achieving its own 20% energy-saving goal set for 2010 to date. Despite this great challenge at home, just prior to the Copenhagen climate summit, China pledged to cut its carbon intensity by 40-45% by 2020 relative its 2005 levels to help to reach an international climate change agreement at Copenhagen or beyond. This raises the issue of whether such a pledge is ambitious or just represents business as usual. To put China’s climate pledge into perspective, this paper examines whether this proposed carbon intensity goal for 2020 is as challenging as the energy-saving goals set in the current 11th five-year economic blueprint, to what extent it drives China’s emissions below its projected baseline levels, and whether China will fulfill its part of a coordinated global commitment to stabilize the concentration of greenhouse gas emissions in the atmosphere at the desirable level. Given that China’s pledge is in the form of carbon intensity, the paper shows that GDP figures are even more crucial to the impacts on the energy or carbon intensity than are energy consumption and emissions data by examining the revisions of China’s GDP figures and energy consumption in recent years. Moreover, the paper emphasizes that China’s proposed carbon intensity target not only needs to be seen as ambitious, but more importantly it needs to be credible. Given that China has shifted control over resources and decision making to local governments as the result of the economic reforms during the past three decades, the paper argues the need to carefully examine those objective and subjective factors that lead to the lack of local official’s cooperation on the environment, and concludes that their cooperation, and strict implementation and coordination of the policies and measures enacted are of paramount importance to meeting China’s existing energy-saving goal in 2010, its proposed carbon intensity target in 2020 and whatever climate commitments beyond 2020 that China may take. |
| 特色分类 | Q42;Q43;Q48;Q52;Q53;Q54;Q58
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| 关键词 | Energy Saving
Renewable Energy
Carbon Intensity
Post-Copenhagen Climate Negotiations
Climate Commitments
China
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| URL | https://www.feem.it/en/publications/feem-working-papers-note-di-lavoro-series/assessing-china-s-energy-conservation-and-carbon-intensity-how-will-the-future-differ-from-the-past/
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| 来源智库 | Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (Italy)
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| 资源类型 | 智库出版物
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| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/117872
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推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714 |
ZhongXiang Zhang. Assessing China’s Energy Conservation and Carbon Intensity: How Will the Future Differ from the Past?. 2010.
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2010712100554NDL2010-092.pdf
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