| 来源类型 | FEEM working papers "Note di lavoro" series |
| 规范类型 | 论文 |
| Geoengineering and Abatement: A ’flat’ Relationship under Uncertainty | |
| Johannes Emmerling; Massimo Tavoni | |
| 发表日期 | 2013 |
| 出处 | Climate Change and Sustainable Development |
| 出版年 | 2013 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | The potential of geoengineering as an alternative or complementary option to mitigation and adaptation has received increased interest in recent years. The scientific assessment of geoengineering is driven to a large extent by assumptions about its effectiveness, costs, and impacts, all of which are highly uncertain. This has led to a polarizing debate. This paper evaluates the role of Solar Radiation Management (SRM) on the optimal abatement path, focusing on the uncertainty about the effectiveness of SRM and the interaction with uncertain climate change response. Using standard economic models of dynamic decision theory under uncertainty, we show that abatement is decreasing in the probability of success of SRM, but that this relation is concave and thus that significant abatement reductions are optimal only if SRM is very likely to be effective. The results are confirmed even when considering positive correlation structures between the effectiveness of geoengineering and the magnitude of climate change. Using a stochastic version of an Integrated Assessment Model, the results are found to be robust for a wide range of parameters specification. |
| 特色分类 | Q54;C63;D81 |
| 关键词 | Geoengineering Mitigation Climate Policy Uncertainty |
| URL | https://www.feem.it/en/publications/feem-working-papers-note-di-lavoro-series/geoengineering-and-abatement-a-flat-relationship-under-uncertainty/ |
| 来源智库 | Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (Italy) |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/118159 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Johannes Emmerling,Massimo Tavoni. Geoengineering and Abatement: A ’flat’ Relationship under Uncertainty. 2013. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| 20134121213121Nota_d（71KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
| 2013726944434NDL2013（1187KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
| 文件名： | 20134121213121Nota_di_Lavoro.jpg |
| 格式： | JPEG |
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