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来源类型FEEM working papers "Note di lavoro" series
规范类型论文
Assessing Direct and Indirect Economic Impacts of a Flood Event Through the Integration of Spatial and Computable General Equilibrium Modelling
Lorenzo Carrera; Gabriele Standardi; Francesco Bosello; Jaroslav Mysiak
发表日期2014
出处Climate Change and Sustainable Development
出版年2014
语种英语
摘要In this paper we developed and tested an integrated methodology for assessing direct and indirect economic impacts of flooding. The methodology combines a spatial analysis of damage to physical stocks with a general economic equilibrium approach using a regionally-calibrated (to Italy) version of a Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) global model. We applied the model to the 2000 Po river flood. To account for the uncertainty in the induced effects on regional economies, we explored three disruption and two recovery scenarios. The results prove that: i) indirect losses are a significant share of direct losses, and ii) the model is able to capture both positive and negative economic effects of a disaster in different areas of the same country. The assessment of indirect impacts is essential for a full understanding of the economic outcomes of natural disasters. *** Suggested citation: Carrera, L., G. Standardi, F. Bosello, J. Mysiak (2014), 'Assessing Direct and Indirect Economic Impacts of a Flood Event Through the Integration of Spatial and Computable General Equilibrium Modelling', Environmental Modelling & Software, Volume 63, January 2015, Pages 109-122, ISSN 1364-8152, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2014.09.016
特色分类Q5;Q54
关键词Flood Risk Indirect Impacts Computable General Equilibrium Natural Disasters
URLhttps://www.feem.it/en/publications/feem-working-papers-note-di-lavoro-series/assessing-direct-and-indirect-economic-impacts-of-a-flood-event-through-the-integration-of-spatial-and-computable-general-equilibrium-modelling/
来源智库Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (Italy)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/118227
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Lorenzo Carrera,Gabriele Standardi,Francesco Bosello,et al. Assessing Direct and Indirect Economic Impacts of a Flood Event Through the Integration of Spatial and Computable General Equilibrium Modelling. 2014.
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