| 来源类型 | FEEM working papers "Note di lavoro" series
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| 规范类型 | 论文
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| Time is of the Essence: Adaptation of Tourism Demand to Climate Change in Europe |
| Salvador Barrios; J. Nicolás Ibañez
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| 发表日期 | 2014
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| 出处 | Climate Change and Sustainable Development
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| 出版年 | 2014
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| 语种 | 英语
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| 摘要 | This study analyses the potential impact of climate change on EU tourism demand and provides long-term (2100) scenarios accounting for adaptation in terms of holiday duration. Our long-term projections for tourism demand are based on hedonic valuation of climatic conditions combining hotel price information and travel cost estimations. This approach allows us to analyse together the climatic aspect of recreational demand and its travel cost dimension and thus to draw alternative hypotheses regarding the time dimension of tourism demand. We derive alternative scenarios for adaptation of holiday in terms of holiday frequency and duration. We find that the climate dimension plays a significant (economically and statistically) role in explaining hedonic valuations of tourism services and, as a consequence, its variation in the long-term are likely to affect the relative attractiveness of EU regions for recreational demand. In certain cases, most notably the Southern EU Mediterranean countries climate condition in 2100 could under current economic conditions, lower tourism revenues for up to -0.45% of GDP per year. On the contrary, other areas of the EU, most notably Northern European countries would gain from altered climate conditions, although these gains would be relatively more modest, reaching up to 0.32% of GDP on an annual basis. Overall our results suggest that the change in holiday duration appears to be more beneficial than the change in the frequency of holidays in view of mitigating the cost of climate change for the tourism sector. These two time dimensions of adaptation are likely to be conditioned by broader societal and institutional factors, however.
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Suggested citation: Barrios, S., J. N. Ibañez, (2014), 'Time is of the Essence: Adaptation of Tourism Demand to Climate Change in Europe' Nota di Lavoro 19.2014, Milan, Italy: Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei. |
| 特色分类 | L8;Q5
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| 关键词 | Tourism demand
Climate change
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| URL | https://www.feem.it/en/publications/feem-working-papers-note-di-lavoro-series/time-is-of-the-essence-adaptation-of-tourism-demand-to-climate-change-in-europe/
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| 来源智库 | Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (Italy)
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| 资源类型 | 智库出版物
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| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/118259
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推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714 |
Salvador Barrios,J. Nicolás Ibañez. Time is of the Essence: Adaptation of Tourism Demand to Climate Change in Europe. 2014.
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2014227163304NDL2014-019.pdf
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