全球智库信息集成服务系统(G2TT): Catastrophic Risk, Precautionary Abatement, and Adaptation Transfers

G2TT

来源类型	FEEM working papers "Note di lavoro" series
规范类型	论文
	Catastrophic Risk, Precautionary Abatement, and Adaptation Transfers
	Francesco Bosello; Enrica De Cian; Licia Ferranna
发表日期	2014
出处	Climate Change and Sustainable Development
出版年	2014
语种	英语
摘要	This paper contributes to the normative literature on mitigation and adaptation by framing the question of their optimal policy balance in the context of catastrophic climate risk. The analysis uses the WITCH integrated assessment model with a module that models the endogenous risk of experiencing an economic catastrophe if temperature increases above a certain threshold. We find that the risk of a catastrophic outcome would encourage countries to reduce emissions even in the absence of a coordinated global agreement on climate change and to realign the policy balance from adaptation toward more mitigation. Our analysis also shows that adaptation transfers from and strategic unilateral commitments to adaptation in developed countries appear to provide weak incentives for reducing emissions in developing countries. Thus our first conclusion is that precautionary considerations, rather than the ability to reduce smooth damage increases, justify mitigation as a fundamental policy option. Accordingly, adaptation is needed to cope with the non-catastrophic damages that countries would fail to address with mitigation Our second conclusion is that supporting adaptation in developing countries should be considered primarily as a mean for ensuring equity or improving development, and very marginally as a mitigation incentive. *** Suggested citation: F. Bosello, E. De Cian, L. Ferranna, (2014), 'Catastrophic Risk, Precautionary Abatement, and Adaptation Transfers', Nota di Lavoro 108.2014, Milan, Italy: Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
特色分类	C61;D58;Q5
关键词	Climate Change Mitigation Adaptation Climate Risk Integrated Assessment
URL	https://www.feem.it/en/publications/feem-working-papers-note-di-lavoro-series/catastrophic-risk-precautionary-abatement-and-adaptation-transfers/
来源智库	Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (Italy)
资源类型	智库出版物
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/118323
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Francesco Bosello,Enrica De Cian,Licia Ferranna. Catastrophic Risk, Precautionary Abatement, and Adaptation Transfers. 2014.

条目包含的文件
文件名称/大小	资源类型	版本类型	开放类型	使用许可
201511510961Nota_di_（71KB）	智库出版物		限制开放	CC BY-NC-SA	浏览
201511510964NDL2014-（2771KB）	智库出版物		限制开放	CC BY-NC-SA	浏览