全球智库信息集成服务系统(G2TT): Decision Frameworks and the Investment in R&D

G2TT

来源类型	FEEM working papers "Note di lavoro" series
规范类型	论文
	Decision Frameworks and the Investment in R&D
	Erin Baker; Olaitan Olaleye; Lara Aleluia Reis
发表日期	2015
出处	Climate Change and Sustainable Development
出版年	2015
语种	英语
摘要	In this paper we provide an overview of decision frameworks aimed at crafting an energy technology Research & Development portfolio, based on the results of three large expert elicitation studies and a large scale energy-economic model. We introduce importance sampling as a technique for integrating elicitation data and large IAMs into decision making under uncertainty models. We show that it is important to include both parts of this equation – the prospects for technological advancement and the interactions of the technologies in and with the economy. We find that investment in energy technology R&D is important even in the absence of climate policy. We illustrate the value of considering dynamic two-stage sequential decision models under uncertainty for identifying alternatives with option value. Finally, we consider two frameworks that incorporate ambiguity aversion. We suggest that these results may be best used to guide future research aimed at improving the set of elicitation data. *** Suggested citation: Erin Baker, Olaitan Olaleye, Lara Aleluia Reis, Decision frameworks and the investment in R&D, Energy Policy, Volume 80, May 2015, Pages 275-285, ISSN 0301-4215, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2015.01.027.
特色分类	Q42
关键词	Decision Making Under Uncertainty Climate Change Stabilization Pathways Energy technology Ambiguity Aversion
URL	https://www.feem.it/en/publications/feem-working-papers-note-di-lavoro-series/decision-frameworks-and-the-investment-in-r-d/
来源智库	Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (Italy)
资源类型	智库出版物
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/118396
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Erin Baker,Olaitan Olaleye,Lara Aleluia Reis. Decision Frameworks and the Investment in R&D. 2015.

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文件名称/大小	资源类型	版本类型	开放类型	使用许可
2015512154541Nota_di（71KB）	智库出版物		限制开放	CC BY-NC-SA	浏览
20155121545124NDL201（1708KB）	智库出版物		限制开放	CC BY-NC-SA	浏览