全球智库信息集成服务系统(G2TT): Sensitivity of Modeling Results to Technological and Regional Details: The Case of Italy’s Carbon Mitigation Policy

G2TT

来源类型	FEEM working papers "Note di lavoro" series
规范类型	论文
	Sensitivity of Modeling Results to Technological and Regional Details: The Case of Italy’s Carbon Mitigation Policy
	Gabriele Standardi; Yiyong Cai; Sonia Yeh
发表日期	2017
出处	Climate Change: Economic Impacts and Adaptation
出版年	2017
语种	英语
摘要	Model differences in technological and geographical scales are common, but their contributions to uncertainties have not been systematically quantified in the climate policy literature. This paper carries out a systematic assessment on the sensitivity of Computable General Equilibrium models to technological and geographical scales in evaluating the economic impacts of carbon mitigation policies. Taking Italy as an example, we find that the estimation for carbon price and the economic cost of a de-carbonization pathway by means of a model with technological and regional details can be lower than a model without such details by up to 40%. Additionally, the effect of representing regional details appears to be far more important than the effect of representing the details of electricity technology in both the estimated carbon prices and the estimated economic impacts. Our results for Italy highlight the importance of modeling uncertainties of these two key assumptions, which should be appropriately acknowledged when applying CGE models for policy impact assessment. Our conclusions can be generalized to different countries and policy scenarios not in terms of absolute numbers but in terms of economic explanations. In particular, intra-national trade and the sub-national sectoral/technological specialization are important variables for understanding the economic dynamics behind these outcomes. *** Suggested citation: Gabriele Standardi, Yiyong Cai and Sonia Yeh, Sensitivity of Modeling Results to Technological and Regional Details: The Case of Italy’s Carbon Mitigation Policy, Energy Economics, ISSN 0140-9883, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2017.01.021
特色分类	C68;Q5;Q55
关键词	Computable General Equilibrium Carbon Mitigation Policy Sensitivity Technology Sub-national regions
URL	https://www.feem.it/en/publications/feem-working-papers-note-di-lavoro-series/sensitivity-of-modeling-results-to-technological-and-regional-details-the-case-of-italy-s-carbon-mitigation-policy/
来源智库	Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (Italy)
资源类型	智库出版物
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/118532
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Gabriele Standardi,Yiyong Cai,Sonia Yeh. Sensitivity of Modeling Results to Technological and Regional Details: The Case of Italy’s Carbon Mitigation Policy. 2017.

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文件名称/大小	资源类型	版本类型	开放类型	使用许可
2017324116201Nota_di（71KB）	智库出版物		限制开放	CC BY-NC-SA	浏览
2017324116354NDL2017（1939KB）	智库出版物		限制开放	CC BY-NC-SA	浏览