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来源类型 | FEEM working papers "Note di lavoro" series |
规范类型 | 论文 |
How Do Regional Interactions in Space Affect China’s Mitigation Targets and Economic Development? | |
Wang Lu; Hao Yu; Wei Yi-Ming | |
发表日期 | 2017 |
出处 | Mitigation, Innovation and Transformation Pathways |
出版年 | 2017 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | China is faced with the big challenge of maintaining a remarkable economic growth in an environmental friendly manner; that is why forecasting the turning point is of necessity. Traditional econometric approaches do not consider the spatial dependence that inevitably exists in the economic units, which probably risks misspecification and generating a biased estimation result. This paper firstly constructs Theil index to measure the intra-and inter regional inequality of CO2 emissions, we find that difference in emissions between regions is narrowed but gap within the Western China is sharply expanding. Then the Spatial Durbin model is employed to shape the relationship between mitigation and economic growth using the panel data of 29 provinces ranging from 1995 to 2011. Results show that the peak of per capita carbon dioxide emissions in China would be seen when GDP per capita reaches between $USD 21594 to 24737 (at 2000 constant price), much smaller when compared with the estimations of models which ignore the spatial dependence. This implies that territorial policy and industry transfer, on one hand would favor those underdeveloped regions with investment, technology and labors transfer; on the other hand enables developed regions more potential to mitigation, thus, chances are that China achieves the emissions peak of carbon dioxide earlier than conventional wisdom. *** Suggested citation: Wang, L., Y. Hao, Y. Wei, (2017), 'How Do Regional Interactions in Space Affect China’s Mitigation Targets and Economic Development?', Nota di Lavoro 21.2017, Milan, Italy: Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei |
特色分类 | C31;P48;Q54 |
关键词 | Mitigation Economic growth Spatial Interaction Spatial Durbin Model |
URL | https://www.feem.it/en/publications/feem-working-papers-note-di-lavoro-series/how-do-regional-interactions-in-space-affect-china-s-mitigation-targets-and-economic-development/ |
来源智库 | Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (Italy) |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/118536 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Wang Lu,Hao Yu,Wei Yi-Ming. How Do Regional Interactions in Space Affect China’s Mitigation Targets and Economic Development?. 2017. |
条目包含的文件 | ||||||
文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
20174121044481Nota_d(71KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
2017412104514NDL2017(952KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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