G2TT
来源类型External Publications
规范类型其他
Limited Emission Reductions from Fuel subsidy Removal except in Energy-exporting Regions
Jessica Jewell; David McCollum; Johannes Emmerling; Christoph Bertram; David E. H. J. Gernaat; Volker Krey; Leonidas Paroussos; Loïc Berger; Kostas Fragkiadakis; Ilkka Keppo; Nawfal Saadi; Massimo Tavoni; Detlef van Vuuren; Vadim Vinichenko; Keywan Riahi
发表日期2018
出版年2018
语种英语
摘要Hopes are high that removing fossil fuel subsidies could help to mitigate climate change by discouraging inefficient energy consumption and levelling the playing field for renewable energy. In September 2016, the G20 countries re-affirmed their 2009 commitment (at the G20 Leaders’ Summit) to phase out fossil fuel subsidies and many national governments are using today’s low oil prices as an opportunity to do so. In practical terms, this means abandoning policies that decrease the price of fossil fuels and electricity generated from fossil fuels to below normal market prices. However, whether the removal of subsidies, even if implemented worldwide, would have a large impact on climate change mitigation has not been systematically explored. Here we show that removing fossil fuel subsidies would have an unexpectedly small impact on global energy demand and carbon dioxide emissions and would not increase renewable energy use by 2030. Subsidy removal would reduce the carbon price necessary to stabilize greenhouse gas concentration at 550 parts per million by only 2–12 per cent under low oil prices. Removing subsidies in most regions would deliver smaller emission reductions than the Paris Agreement (2015) climate pledges and in some regions global subsidy removal may actually lead to an increase in emissions, owing to either coal replacing subsidized oil and natural gas or natural-gas use shifting from subsidizing, energy-exporting regions to non-subsidizing, importing regions. Our results show that subsidy removal would result in the largest CO2 emission reductions in high-income oil- and gas-exporting regions, where the reductions would exceed the climate pledges of these regions and where subsidy removal would affect fewer people living below the poverty line than in lower-income regions.
URLhttps://www.feem.it/en/publications/external-publications/limited-emission-reductions-from-fuel-subsidy-removal-except-in-energy-exporting-regions/
来源智库Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (Italy)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/118762
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Jessica Jewell,David McCollum,Johannes Emmerling,et al. Limited Emission Reductions from Fuel subsidy Removal except in Energy-exporting Regions. 2018.
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