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来源类型 | Monograph (IIASA Working Paper) |
规范类型 | 论文 |
Complexity in Modeling and Analytic Use of Computers. | |
Orchard-Hays W | |
发表日期 | 1976 |
出版者 | IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: WP-76-009 |
出版年 | 1976 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | Several computerized systems of enormous power are available to IIASA, often at almost no cost. Indeed, two or three, at least, are here now waiting to be used. Yet no one is using them. Nor is this situation unique to IIASA. This writer has spent a quarter of a century in developing increasingly powerful and flexible systems, and has been assisted by numbers of highly competent people at different times. Similar efforts by numerous other individuals and groups could be cited. Increasingly, in the last few years, these systems have tended to become monuments to complexity and futility. Clearly something is wrong and this is a matter of deep concern. Certainly we can (or may have to) stop building systems. But such capability is sorely needed in analyzing the enormous problems facing the world. Only three possible explanations for this situation present themselves: (a) There are almost no analysts who are capable of formulating models of sufficient power to utilize big systems. (b) Computer technology has become so complicated that most analysts cannot -- or refuse to devote the effort needed to -- really understand it. Hence they are unaware of what is available and what can be done. (c) The systems are poorly designed with respect to the kind of work analysts must undertake. |
主题 | System and Decision Sciences - Core (SDS) |
URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/571/ |
来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/121303 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Orchard-Hays W. Complexity in Modeling and Analytic Use of Computers.. 1976. |
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文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
WP-76-009.pdf(2387KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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