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来源类型 | Monograph (IIASA Collaborative Paper) |
规范类型 | 论文 |
A Simple Model of the Economic Long Wave. | |
Sterman JD | |
发表日期 | 1985 |
出版者 | IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: CP-85-021 |
出版年 | 1985 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | Recent economic events have revived interest in the economic long wave or Kondratiev cycle, a cycle of economic expansion and depression lasting about fifty years. Since 1975 the System Dynamics National Model has provided an increasingly rich theory of the long wave. The theory revolves around "self-ordering" of capital, the dependence of the capital-producing sectors of the economy, in the aggregate, on their own output. The long-wave theory growing out of the National Model relates capital investment, employment and workforce participation, monetary and fiscal policy, inflation, productivity and innovation, and even political values. The advantage of the National Model is the rich detail in which economic behavior is represented. However, the complexity of the model makes it difficult to explain the dynamic hypothesis underlying the long wave in a concise manner. |
主题 | Science & ; Technology Program (STY) |
URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/2727/ |
来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/123111 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Sterman JD. A Simple Model of the Economic Long Wave.. 1985. |
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文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
CP-85-021.pdf(1640KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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