G2TT
来源类型Monograph (IIASA Collaborative Paper)
规范类型论文
Dynamics in Land Use Patterns: Socio-Economic and Environmental Aspects of the Second Agricultural Land Use Revolution.
Nijkamp P; Soeteman F
发表日期1988
出版者IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: CP-88-002
出版年1988
语种英语
摘要Many attempts have been made in the past decade to model or to replicate the complexity of dynamic economic-environmental systems, but the strategic components (e.g., key forces, surprises and boundaries) were not adequately included, so that these models failed to provide effective and preventive environmental policies. Consequently, mega-trend analysis at a meso level focusing on the qualitative changes and major directions of influence is -- from a strategic policy viewpoint -- more important than seemingly precise model predictions which are usually bound to fail. This implies that joint expert views (e.g. based on strategic scientific forum analysis) and long-term cross-national comparative studies may often provide more appropriate information than conventional analytical tools. These ideas will be further elaborated in this paper in the framework of land use problems.
主题Environment Program - Core (ENC)
URLhttp://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/3207/
来源智库International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/123509
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Nijkamp P,Soeteman F. Dynamics in Land Use Patterns: Socio-Economic and Environmental Aspects of the Second Agricultural Land Use Revolution.. 1988.
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