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来源类型 | Monograph (IIASA Collaborative Paper) |
规范类型 | 论文 |
Dynamics in Land Use Patterns: Socio-Economic and Environmental Aspects of the Second Agricultural Land Use Revolution. | |
Nijkamp P; Soeteman F | |
发表日期 | 1988 |
出版者 | IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: CP-88-002 |
出版年 | 1988 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | Many attempts have been made in the past decade to model or to replicate the complexity of dynamic economic-environmental systems, but the strategic components (e.g., key forces, surprises and boundaries) were not adequately included, so that these models failed to provide effective and preventive environmental policies. Consequently, mega-trend analysis at a meso level focusing on the qualitative changes and major directions of influence is -- from a strategic policy viewpoint -- more important than seemingly precise model predictions which are usually bound to fail. This implies that joint expert views (e.g. based on strategic scientific forum analysis) and long-term cross-national comparative studies may often provide more appropriate information than conventional analytical tools. These ideas will be further elaborated in this paper in the framework of land use problems. |
主题 | Environment Program - Core (ENC) |
URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/3207/ |
来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/123509 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Nijkamp P,Soeteman F. Dynamics in Land Use Patterns: Socio-Economic and Environmental Aspects of the Second Agricultural Land Use Revolution.. 1988. |
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文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
CP-88-002.pdf(885KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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