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来源类型 | Monograph (IIASA Working Paper) |
规范类型 | 论文 |
Future Land Use Patterns in Europe. | |
Brouwer F; Chadwick MJ | |
发表日期 | 1988 |
出版者 | IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: WP-88-040 |
出版年 | 1988 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | The objective of the paper is to focus on a set of "not-impossible" but still plausible land use patterns in Europe until the middle of the next century. Changes in technologies and environmental transformations are vital determinants for future land use patterns that are taken into account. The paper therefore makes an assessment of the following: (1) A Conventional Wisdom scenario for agriculture covering the period 1980-2030. This scenario is based on the consideration that present trends of increasing yields in European agriculture are extrapolated. (2) A scenario for changing land use patterns for the period 1980-2030, considering various trends in the application of new technologies (i.e., a scenario that is based on a rapid increase in land productivity, and a scenario to improve the marginal land, and which is based on the adaptation to poor local environmental conditions). (3) A scenario for changing land use patterns that is based on a change in climate. Two scenarios of climate change are included here: (i) for the year 2030 that is based on an analysis of historical analogues, and (ii) for the year 2050 that is based on a general circulation model. |
主题 | Environment Program - Core (ENC) |
URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/3165/ |
来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/123605 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Brouwer F,Chadwick MJ. Future Land Use Patterns in Europe.. 1988. |
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文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
WP-88-040.pdf(1152KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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